Official tallies from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections confirm the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) securing the most seats in the Chamber of Representatives at 42, with Centro Democrático (CD) a clear second at 30 seats—well ahead of the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 26 and others trailing further. This positioning reflects CD's strong consolidation of center-right votes amid fragmented opposition, bolstered by consistent regional strongholds despite low overall turnout around 48%. Trader consensus at 93.8% for CD embodies the wisdom of crowds betting on final Registraduría Nacional certification, with minimal remaining uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require successful legal appeals, recounts in disputed precincts, or seat reallocations via proportional representation adjustments, though none have gained traction in recent bulletins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentro Democrático (CD) 93.5%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 3.8%
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL) 3.1%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 1.4%
$106,803 Vol.
$106,803 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD)
94%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
4%

MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
3%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
1%

Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%

Partido de la U (La U)
<1%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
<1%

Green Alliance (AV)
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD) 93.5%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 3.8%
MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL) 3.1%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 1.4%
$106,803 Vol.
$106,803 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD)
94%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
4%

MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL)
3%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
1%

Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%

Partido de la U (La U)
<1%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
<1%

Green Alliance (AV)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official tallies from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections confirm the Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) securing the most seats in the Chamber of Representatives at 42, with Centro Democrático (CD) a clear second at 30 seats—well ahead of the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 26 and others trailing further. This positioning reflects CD's strong consolidation of center-right votes amid fragmented opposition, bolstered by consistent regional strongholds despite low overall turnout around 48%. Trader consensus at 93.8% for CD embodies the wisdom of crowds betting on final Registraduría Nacional certification, with minimal remaining uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require successful legal appeals, recounts in disputed precincts, or seat reallocations via proportional representation adjustments, though none have gained traction in recent bulletins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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