Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, secured a commanding lead in Bulgaria's April 19, 2026, snap parliamentary election, capturing around 45% of the vote and projecting to 130-plus seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. With over 98% of ballots counted per Central Electoral Commission data, this landslide—far exceeding the 95-seat mark—reflects voter exhaustion after eight elections in six years, boosting PB's anti-corruption, anti-oligarchy platform amid fragmented opposition like GERB and PP-DB at 12-15%. Trader consensus at 100% on 95+ seats underscores this dominance via skin-in-the-game pricing. Only a major recount, legal challenge, or final tally revision could alter resolution, though such shifts appear improbable given the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated95+ 100.0%
<75 <1%
75-79 <1%
80-84 <1%
$104,580 Vol.
$104,580 Vol.
<75
No
75-79
No
80-84
No
85-89
No
90-94
No
95+
Yes
95+ 100.0%
<75 <1%
75-79 <1%
80-84 <1%
$104,580 Vol.
$104,580 Vol.
<75
No
75-79
No
80-84
No
85-89
No
90-94
No
95+
Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, secured a commanding lead in Bulgaria's April 19, 2026, snap parliamentary election, capturing around 45% of the vote and projecting to 130-plus seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. With over 98% of ballots counted per Central Electoral Commission data, this landslide—far exceeding the 95-seat mark—reflects voter exhaustion after eight elections in six years, boosting PB's anti-corruption, anti-oligarchy platform amid fragmented opposition like GERB and PP-DB at 12-15%. Trader consensus at 100% on 95+ seats underscores this dominance via skin-in-the-game pricing. Only a major recount, legal challenge, or final tally revision could alter resolution, though such shifts appear improbable given the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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