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Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

Rumen Radev 71%

Assen Vassilev 19.8%

Andrey Gyurov 9%

Dimitar Glavchev <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Rumen Radev 71%

Assen Vassilev 19.8%

Andrey Gyurov 9%

Dimitar Glavchev <1%

Polymarket
NEW
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Rumen Radev

$2,820 Vol.

71%

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Assen Vassilev

$1,691 Vol.

20%

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Andrey Gyurov

$900 Vol.

9%

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Dimitar Glavchev

$383 Vol.

1%

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Krum Zarkov

$543 Vol.

1%

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Kostadin Kostadinov

$446 Vol.

1%

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Nikolai Denkov

$364 Vol.

<1%

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Boyko Borissov

$537 Vol.

<1%

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Rosen Zhelyazkov

$410 Vol.

<1%

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Delyan Peevski

$425 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors former President Rumen Radev at 70.5% to become Bulgaria's next prime minister after the April 19, 2026, snap parliamentary elections—the eighth since 2021—driven by his Progressive Bulgaria alliance's consistent poll lead of 27-31% in recent Alpha Research and Gallup surveys, positioning it for the first exploratory mandate from President Iliyana Yotova. Assen Vassilev of We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria trails at around 11% in polls, reflecting his coalition's anti-corruption stance amid ongoing voter fatigue from instability, explaining his 19.8% odds. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov holds 8.5% as his technocratic administration oversees what he calls the "cleanest elections in years," despite vote-buying seizures and EU aid requests against Russian interference; a fragmented parliament likely requires coalition talks post-vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,519
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors former President Rumen Radev at 70.5% to become Bulgaria's next prime minister after the April 19, 2026, snap parliamentary elections—the eighth since 2021—driven by his Progressive Bulgaria alliance's consistent poll lead of 27-31% in recent Alpha Research and Gallup surveys, positioning it for the first exploratory mandate from President Iliyana Yotova. Assen Vassilev of We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria trails at around 11% in polls, reflecting his coalition's anti-corruption stance amid ongoing voter fatigue from instability, explaining his 19.8% odds. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov holds 8.5% as his technocratic administration oversees what he calls the "cleanest elections in years," despite vote-buying seizures and EU aid requests against Russian interference; a fragmented parliament likely requires coalition talks post-vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,519
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rumen Radev" at 71%, followed by "Assen Vassilev" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" is "Rumen Radev" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Assen Vassilev" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.