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CFTC predictions & odds

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ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC

ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC

47%

ACF Fiorentina

$4.1K Vol.

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

Genoa CFC vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

-

$99.8K Vol.

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC - More Markets

SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC - More Markets

-

$272K Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

92%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$26.8K Liq.

44

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

90%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$48.3K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

60%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.0K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

73%

LedgerX

$100K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

18%

$13.3K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET

Up

$166K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

5%

December 31, 2026

$107K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

19

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET

Up

$287K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

43%

$4.7K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

38%

Gold

$791K Vol.

$42.8K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET

<1%

Up

$37.0K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET

50%

Up

$4 Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like CFTC.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for CFTC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 92% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on CFTC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.