Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

67%

December 31

$10M Vol.

$181K Liq.

351

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$14.5K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

58%

Up

$24 Vol.

$453 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

77%

Mark Rutte

$285K Vol.

$62.7K today

$41.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

57%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$3M Vol.

$383K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump meet with in March?

Who will Trump meet with in March?

43%

Andy Jassy

$151K Vol.

$98.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

94%

Xi Jinping

$267K Vol.

$135K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

66%

Mohammed bin Salman

$9.1K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump meet with in April?

Who will Trump meet with in April?

25%

Elon Musk

$12.6K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

89%

Jamie Dimon

$18.0K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

16

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

65%

Peace Through Strength

$1 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will FTSE 100 (UKX) hit in March?

What will FTSE 100 (UKX) hit in March?

41%

↓ 7900

$24.5K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

78%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$712K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

50%

↓ 19500

$832 Vol.

$523 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?

What will Nikkei 225 (NIK) hit in March?

15%

↓ 38500

$638 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

56%

S&P 500

$1.6K Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?

What will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit in March?

49%

↑ 3000

$573 Vol.

$140 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?

17%

↓ 17400

$22.6K Vol.

$814 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$2.4K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

93%

Nothing

$4.8K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Keir.

Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for Keir that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Starmer approval Up or Down in April?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Keir predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.