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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù

Keiko Fujimori 98.3%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 1.1%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$101,538,040 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 98.3%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 1.1%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$101,538,040 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$20,043,819 Vol.

98%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$33,536,975 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$14,152,565 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$13,162,736 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$648,994 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$253,947 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$138,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$267,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$328,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,778,976 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$207,788 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$370,859 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$144,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$163,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$472,562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$440,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$2,317,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$282,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,326,037 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$1,814,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$223,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$1,742,368 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$735,584 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding position in the Peru presidential election market because the June 7 runoff produced a razor-thin lead for the Popular Force candidate that has held through more than 98 percent of the national count. Fujimori benefited from strong urban and coastal support plus overseas ballots, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino drew rural and Andean votes, leaving the two separated by only a few hundred votes out of roughly 18 million cast. Traders assign the other listed candidates negligible probability because neither advanced past the April first round. The narrow margin leaves room for final rural tallies or formal challenges to shift the outcome before ONPE completes certification, yet the consistent direction of late-counted ballots and limited scope for reversal underpin the current trader consensus.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$101,538,040
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Esito proposto: No

Contestato

Proposta di esito

Contestazione finale

Finale

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding position in the Peru presidential election market because the June 7 runoff produced a razor-thin lead for the Popular Force candidate that has held through more than 98 percent of the national count. Fujimori benefited from strong urban and coastal support plus overseas ballots, while Roberto Sánchez Palomino drew rural and Andean votes, leaving the two separated by only a few hundred votes out of roughly 18 million cast. Traders assign the other listed candidates negligible probability because neither advanced past the April first round. The narrow margin leaves room for final rural tallies or formal challenges to shift the outcome before ONPE completes certification, yet the consistent direction of late-counted ballots and limited scope for reversal underpin the current trader consensus.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$101,538,040
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Esito proposto: No

Contestato

Proposta di esito

Contestazione finale

Finale

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Keiko Fujimori" a 98%, seguito da "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" ha generato $101.5 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 16, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" è "Keiko Fujimori" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.