Skip to main content
icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 74%

Robert Kenyon 25%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.7%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,117,760 Vol.

Andy Burnham 74%

Robert Kenyon 25%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.7%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,117,760 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$200,745 Vol.

74%

Robert Kenyon

$136,832 Vol.

25%

Rebecca Shepherd

$1,754,073 Vol.

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$6,702 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$6,509 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$6,531 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$8,147 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour’s decision to select Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as its candidate for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, following Josh Simons’ resignation, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner. The seat’s strong historical Labour support and Burnham’s high regional profile reinforce trader expectations of a comfortable victory. Reform UK’s selection of local plumber Robert Kenyon has consolidated the main opposition challenge, yet remains well behind in implied probability. Minor-party candidates trail significantly with little recent momentum. The short campaign timeline and absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities stable, with the market reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency party status and candidate recognition in this Greater Manchester constituency.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$2,117,760
Data di fine
18 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour’s decision to select Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as its candidate for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, following Josh Simons’ resignation, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner. The seat’s strong historical Labour support and Burnham’s high regional profile reinforce trader expectations of a comfortable victory. Reform UK’s selection of local plumber Robert Kenyon has consolidated the main opposition challenge, yet remains well behind in implied probability. Minor-party candidates trail significantly with little recent momentum. The short campaign timeline and absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities stable, with the market reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency party status and candidate recognition in this Greater Manchester constituency.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$2,117,760
Data di fine
18 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Makerfield by-election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andy Burnham" a 74%, seguito da "Robert Kenyon" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 74¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Makerfield by-election Winner" ha generato $2.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Makerfield by-election Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Makerfield by-election Winner" è "Andy Burnham" a 74%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Robert Kenyon" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Makerfield by-election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.