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icon for Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?

Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?

icon for Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?

Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?

$21,392,137 Vol.

16 giu 2026
Polymarket

$21,392,137 Vol.

Polymarket

15 giugno

$20,219,694 Vol.

22 giugno

$470,802 Vol.

30 giugno

$486,285 Vol.

31 luglio

$215,356 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,392,137
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Sì

Contestato

Esito proposto: Sì

Contestato

Esito finale: Sì

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US and Iran reached a preliminary 14-point Memorandum of Understanding in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, lift sanctions on Iranian oil exports, and initiate up to 60 days of further talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, a $300 billion reconstruction framework, and related issues. US officials released key terms during the G7 summit in France, with virtual signatures already completed and a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland. The framework defers resolution of core disputes such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and final sanctions relief, while allowing both sides to withdraw before the ceremony. This breakthrough follows months of direct and mediated negotiations after the 2026 Iran war began in February. Trader consensus on near-term agreement reflects the confirmed timeline and public commitments, tempered by remaining gaps in the final text and potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,392,137
Data di fine
31 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Sì

Contestato

Esito proposto: Sì

Contestato

Esito finale: Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "15 giugno" a 100%, seguito da "22 giugno" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?" ha generato $21.4 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?" è "15 giugno" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "22 giugno" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Stati Uniti e Iran firmano un accordo entro...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.