Historic direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, the highest-level since 1979, ended without resolution last weekend amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, nuclear limits, and sanctions relief. Iran insists on a formal framework agreement before proceeding to a second round, prompting Pakistani mediators to push for venue and timing amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, echoing earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva that advanced but stalled on core demands. No date is confirmed, leaving diplomatic momentum uncertain as traders gauge escalation risks versus de-escalation incentives ahead of any resolution deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRiunione diplomatica USA x Iran entro...?
Riunione diplomatica USA x Iran entro...?
$2,725,874 Vol.
18 apr 2026
18 aprile
<1%
19 aprile
3%
20 aprile
32%
21 aprile
53%
22 aprile
62%
30 aprile
80%
$2,725,874 Vol.
18 aprile
$1,064,925 Vol.
<1%
19 aprile
$156,013 Vol.
3%
20 aprile
$148,119 Vol.
32%
21 aprile
$62,949 Vol.
53%
22 aprile
$502,982 Vol.
62%
30 aprile
$297,156 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Historic direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, the highest-level since 1979, ended without resolution last weekend amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, nuclear limits, and sanctions relief. Iran insists on a formal framework agreement before proceeding to a second round, prompting Pakistani mediators to push for venue and timing amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, echoing earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva that advanced but stalled on core demands. No date is confirmed, leaving diplomatic momentum uncertain as traders gauge escalation risks versus de-escalation incentives ahead of any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$2,725,874Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Historic direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, the highest-level since 1979, ended without resolution last weekend amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, nuclear limits, and sanctions relief. Iran insists on a formal framework agreement before proceeding to a second round, prompting Pakistani mediators to push for venue and timing amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, echoing earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva that advanced but stalled on core demands. No date is confirmed, leaving diplomatic momentum uncertain as traders gauge escalation risks versus de-escalation incentives ahead of any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,725,874Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Historic direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, the highest-level since 1979, ended without resolution last weekend amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, nuclear limits, and sanctions relief. Iran insists on a formal framework agreement before proceeding to a second round, prompting Pakistani mediators to push for venue and timing amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump signaled potential resumption within days, echoing earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva that advanced but stalled on core demands. No date is confirmed, leaving diplomatic momentum uncertain as traders gauge escalation risks versus de-escalation incentives ahead of any resolution deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti