Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,917,475 Vol.
$5,917,475 Vol.
26 giu 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
Yes
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,917,475 Vol.
$5,917,475 Vol.
26 giu 2026
<20
$14,481 Vol.
No
20-39
$11,373 Vol.
No
40-59
$21,573 Vol.
No
60-79
$104,805 Vol.
No
80-99
$110,677 Vol.
No
100-119
$111,554 Vol.
No
120-139
$141,137 Vol.
No
140-159
$122,678 Vol.
No
160-179
$259,345 Vol.
No
180-199
$364,568 Vol.
No
200-219
$426,668 Vol.
No
220-239
$624,429 Vol.
No
240-259
$442,528 Vol.
Yes
260-279
$582,437 Vol.
No
280-299
$509,226 Vol.
No
300-319
$391,631 Vol.
No
320-339
$303,933 Vol.
No
340-359
$251,655 Vol.
No
360-379
$213,474 Vol.
No
380-399
$155,461 Vol.
No
400-419
$153,618 Vol.
No
420-439
$109,576 Vol.
No
440-459
$143,100 Vol.
No
460-479
$72,790 Vol.
No
480-499
$72,970 Vol.
No
500+
$201,787 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,917,475Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,917,475Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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