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icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Politica·UK

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

icon for Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Politica·UK

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Robert Kenyon 100.0%

Andy Burnham <1%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

John Skipworth <1%

Polymarket

$454,406 Vol.

Robert Kenyon 100.0%

Andy Burnham <1%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

John Skipworth <1%

Polymarket

$454,406 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$6,594 Vol.

No

Simon Finkelstein

$1,374 Vol.

No

John Skipworth

$1,215 Vol.

No

Maria Deery

$788 Vol.

No

Rebecca Shepherd

$431,123 Vol.

No

James Thomas Bryer

$1,158 Vol.

No

Robert Kenyon

$12,155 Vol.

Yes

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Robert Kenyon leads the "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" market at 88% implied probability, far ahead of Andy Burnham at 11.9%, with all other candidates below 1%.** The by-election, held on 18 June 2026 after Labour MP Josh Simons resigned to clear a path for Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, pits Burnham (Labour) against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor who finished second in the seat at the 2024 general election. Polls in the final week showed Burnham leading but in a tight race, with Reform close behind and other parties (Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, Greens) well back. Kenyon's strong local profile, Reform's prior showing in Makerfield, and national momentum for the party position him as the clear runner-up in trader consensus. Burnham is priced for first place, while minor candidates lack the polling or structural support to challenge for second. The contest's national stakes, tied to potential Labour leadership implications, have focused attention on the top two.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$454,406
Data di fine
18 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).**Robert Kenyon leads the "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" market at 88% implied probability, far ahead of Andy Burnham at 11.9%, with all other candidates below 1%.** The by-election, held on 18 June 2026 after Labour MP Josh Simons resigned to clear a path for Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, pits Burnham (Labour) against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local plumber and councillor who finished second in the seat at the 2024 general election. Polls in the final week showed Burnham leading but in a tight race, with Reform close behind and other parties (Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, Greens) well back. Kenyon's strong local profile, Reform's prior showing in Makerfield, and national momentum for the party position him as the clear runner-up in trader consensus. Burnham is priced for first place, while minor candidates lack the polling or structural support to challenge for second. The contest's national stakes, tied to potential Labour leadership implications, have focused attention on the top two.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$454,406
Data di fine
18 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Correlati

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Count Binface otterrà il secondo posto alle elezioni suppletive di Clacton?

81%
Sì
icon for Bev Craig otterrà il maggior numero di voti validi di prima preferenza nelle Elezioni per il Sindaco della Greater Manchester del 2026?

Bev Craig otterrà il maggior numero di voti validi di prima preferenza nelle Elezioni per il Sindaco della Greater Manchester del 2026?

96%
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icon for Count Binface otterrà meno del 10% dei voti nelle elezioni suppletive parlamentari di Clacton?

Count Binface otterrà meno del 10% dei voti nelle elezioni suppletive parlamentari di Clacton?

33%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Robert Kenyon" a 100%, seguito da "Andy Burnham" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" ha generato $454.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" è "Robert Kenyon" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Andy Burnham" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.