Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

240-259 12%

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$199,101 Vol.

240-259 12%

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

Polymarket
NEW

$199,101 Vol.

<20

$30,576 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$13,579 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$22,009 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$19,192 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$19,706 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$5,112 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$7,054 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$4,163 Vol.

1%

160-179

$5,513 Vol.

2%

180-199

$3,964 Vol.

4%

200-219

$3,133 Vol.

8%

220-239

$4,683 Vol.

11%

240-259

$3,711 Vol.

12%

260-279

$4,159 Vol.

12%

280-299

$2,706 Vol.

12%

300-319

$3,855 Vol.

12%

320-339

$3,881 Vol.

8%

340-359

$2,210 Vol.

7%

360-379

$2,467 Vol.

6%

380-399

$2,507 Vol.

5%

400-419

$4,503 Vol.

3%

420-439

$2,489 Vol.

2%

440-459

$2,101 Vol.

1%

460-479

$2,804 Vol.

1%

480-499

$1,978 Vol.

1%

500-519

$4,526 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$4,999 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$2,525 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$4,013 Vol.

<1%

580+

$5,160 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying a 30-40 daily average consistent with resolved Polymarket trackers like March 20-27 (260-279 total) and March 3-10 (340-359), reflecting his high-engagement posting rhythm amid SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and X platform tweaks. A sharp dip to 13 tweets on March 29—down from 25+ daily prior—temporarily boosted lower bins like 220-259, but rebounding activity on March 30-31 has evened the field, with no dominant frontrunner above 11.5%. Key swings hinge on viral controversies or product announcements spiking volume, versus quieter periods pulling toward 200-239; markets capture this unpredictability through skin-in-the-game bets ahead of the April window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$199,101
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying a 30-40 daily average consistent with resolved Polymarket trackers like March 20-27 (260-279 total) and March 3-10 (340-359), reflecting his high-engagement posting rhythm amid SpaceX launches, Tesla updates, and X platform tweaks. A sharp dip to 13 tweets on March 29—down from 25+ daily prior—temporarily boosted lower bins like 220-259, but rebounding activity on March 30-31 has evened the field, with no dominant frontrunner above 11.5%. Key swings hinge on viral controversies or product announcements spiking volume, versus quieter periods pulling toward 200-239; markets capture this unpredictability through skin-in-the-game bets ahead of the April window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$199,101
End Date
Apr 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 12%, followed by "260-279" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" has generated $199.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" is "240-259" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "260-279" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.