Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in domestic opening weekend box office at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized reports confirming a robust $14.4 million debut across 3,087 theaters from April 3-5. Strong Thursday previews of $1.7 million—exceeding expectations—and a blockbuster $6.4 million Friday propelled A24's third-best opening ever, fueled by Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, Kristoffer Borgli's buzzy rom-com direction, and pre-release tracking estimates of $13-15 million. Worldwide haul hit $28 million, recouping the full $28 million budget instantly. With official tallies locked via Box Office Mojo and industry trackers, an upset to 9-10 million would require an unprecedented reporting error, rendering it virtually impossible.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
>10m 100.0%
<7m <1%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$87,774 Объем
$87,774 Объем
<7m
No
7-8m
No
8-9m
No
9-10m
No
>10m
Yes
>10m 100.0%
<7m <1%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$87,774 Объем
$87,774 Объем
<7m
No
7-8m
No
8-9m
No
9-10m
No
>10m
Yes
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in domestic opening weekend box office at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized reports confirming a robust $14.4 million debut across 3,087 theaters from April 3-5. Strong Thursday previews of $1.7 million—exceeding expectations—and a blockbuster $6.4 million Friday propelled A24's third-best opening ever, fueled by Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power, Kristoffer Borgli's buzzy rom-com direction, and pre-release tracking estimates of $13-15 million. Worldwide haul hit $28 million, recouping the full $28 million budget instantly. With official tallies locked via Box Office Mojo and industry trackers, an upset to 9-10 million would require an unprecedented reporting error, rendering it virtually impossible.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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