Market icon

Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

Market icon

Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

150k-175k 29%

225k-250k 24%

175k-200k 22%

<150k 21%

Polymarket
NEW

150k-175k 29%

225k-250k 24%

175k-200k 22%

<150k 21%

Polymarket
NEW

<150k

$1,100 Vol.

21%

150k-175k

$313 Vol.

29%

175k-200k

$224 Vol.

22%

200k-225k

$6 Vol.

20%

225k-250k

$13 Vol.

24%

250k-275k

$338 Vol.

15%

275k-300k

$148 Vol.

17%

300k+

$29 Vol.

10%

Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album-equivalent units tilts toward the 150k-175k bin at 28.5% implied probability, with razor-thin margins across lower strikes reflecting robust day-one streaming (33.2 million global Spotify streams, third-biggest rap debut of 2026 despite a delayed Friday drop) offset by modest pure sales forecasts around 100k per Kalshi and Hits Daily Double trackers. Lingering controversies from Ye's Vultures era (under 150k debuts) and limited mainstream promo dampen upside, while 100k+ pre-sold physicals and features like Travis Scott fuel contention for 200k-250k outcomes. Key swings hinge on mid-week streaming tallies and final scans ahead of Billboard 200 lockout.

Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$2,171
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Kanye West's "Bully" first-week album-equivalent units tilts toward the 150k-175k bin at 28.5% implied probability, with razor-thin margins across lower strikes reflecting robust day-one streaming (33.2 million global Spotify streams, third-biggest rap debut of 2026 despite a delayed Friday drop) offset by modest pure sales forecasts around 100k per Kalshi and Hits Daily Double trackers. Lingering controversies from Ye's Vultures era (under 150k debuts) and limited mainstream promo dampen upside, while 100k+ pre-sold physicals and features like Travis Scott fuel contention for 200k-250k outcomes. Key swings hinge on mid-week streaming tallies and final scans ahead of Billboard 200 lockout.

Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$2,171
End Date
Apr 4, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Kanye West's new album 'BULLY' is scheduled to be released on March 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Related

Market icon

Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?

95%
Market icon

Will 'Whatever's Clever!' - Charlie Puth debut week album sales be between 20k and 25k?

48%
Market icon

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?

28%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "150k-175k" at 29%, followed by "225k-250k" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is "150k-175k" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "225k-250k" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.