Traders heavily favor Kanye West's 'Bully' under 300k first-week US sales at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting his diminished commercial pull amid antisemitic controversies, Adidas fallout, and streaming restrictions on platforms like Spotify. Recent Vultures 1 (148k units) and Vultures 2 (104k) debuts set a low benchmark, with 'Bully's October 4 announcement generating minimal pre-release buzz despite Instagram teases of a surprise drop. Lack of traditional promo, fan fatigue, and boycotts position higher bins as longshots, though viral snippets could spark late streams before Luminate's Tuesday update locks in tracking. Historical surprise albums rarely exceed 200k without radio support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 84%
300k-400k 8%
400k-500k 3.5%
800k-900k 3.4%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
3%
900k+
1%
<300k 84%
300k-400k 8%
400k-500k 3.5%
800k-900k 3.4%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
3%
900k+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor Kanye West's 'Bully' under 300k first-week US sales at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting his diminished commercial pull amid antisemitic controversies, Adidas fallout, and streaming restrictions on platforms like Spotify. Recent Vultures 1 (148k units) and Vultures 2 (104k) debuts set a low benchmark, with 'Bully's October 4 announcement generating minimal pre-release buzz despite Instagram teases of a surprise drop. Lack of traditional promo, fan fatigue, and boycotts position higher bins as longshots, though viral snippets could spark late streams before Luminate's Tuesday update locks in tracking. Historical surprise albums rarely exceed 200k without radio support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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