Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom at 35% and Austria at 28% implied probability for last place in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final, driven by lukewarm reactions to their first and second rehearsal clips released over the past week at Wiener Stadthalle. LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER's gimmicky electronic "Eins, Zwei, Drei"—featuring custom synth machines—earns niche jury curiosity but risks televote rejection amid the UK's string of bottom finishes, while host nation Austria's COSMÓ delivers a fun but underwhelming "Tanzschein" staging that fails to ignite despite home crowd boost. As Big Five auto-qualifiers, both face stiff competition from frontrunners like Finland; key differentiators include UK's potential novelty points versus Austria's generic electropop, with jury deliberations and the May 16 final televote poised to decide this tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision Last Place 2026
Eurovision Last Place 2026
United Kingdom 37%
Austria 28%
Germany 7%
Belgium 3.6%
$87,061 Vol.
$87,061 Vol.

United Kingdom
37%

Austria
28%

Germany
7%

Belgium
4%

Azerbaijan
3%

Latvia
3%

Albania
3%

Armenia
2%

Lithuania
2%

Estonia
2%

Portugal
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Italy
2%

Israel
2%

Poland
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
1%

Norway
1%

San Marino
1%

Czechia
1%

Moldova
1%

Serbia
1%

Georgia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Cyprus
1%

Ukraine
1%

Denmark
1%

Australia
<1%

France
<1%

Greece
<1%

Romania
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Finland
<1%
United Kingdom 37%
Austria 28%
Germany 7%
Belgium 3.6%
$87,061 Vol.
$87,061 Vol.

United Kingdom
37%

Austria
28%

Germany
7%

Belgium
4%

Azerbaijan
3%

Latvia
3%

Albania
3%

Armenia
2%

Lithuania
2%

Estonia
2%

Portugal
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Italy
2%

Israel
2%

Poland
2%

Bulgaria
2%

Montenegro
1%

Norway
1%

San Marino
1%

Czechia
1%

Moldova
1%

Serbia
1%

Georgia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Cyprus
1%

Ukraine
1%

Denmark
1%

Australia
<1%

France
<1%

Greece
<1%

Romania
<1%

Sweden
<1%

Finland
<1%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom at 35% and Austria at 28% implied probability for last place in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final, driven by lukewarm reactions to their first and second rehearsal clips released over the past week at Wiener Stadthalle. LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER's gimmicky electronic "Eins, Zwei, Drei"—featuring custom synth machines—earns niche jury curiosity but risks televote rejection amid the UK's string of bottom finishes, while host nation Austria's COSMÓ delivers a fun but underwhelming "Tanzschein" staging that fails to ignite despite home crowd boost. As Big Five auto-qualifiers, both face stiff competition from frontrunners like Finland; key differentiators include UK's potential novelty points versus Austria's generic electropop, with jury deliberations and the May 16 final televote poised to decide this tight race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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