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Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 31%

France 29%

Finland 13%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$691,835 Vol.

Australia 31%

France 29%

Finland 13%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$691,835 Vol.

Australia

$24,134 Vol.

31%

France

$10,755 Vol.

29%

Finland

$17,664 Vol.

13%

Denmark

$18,870 Vol.

10%

Czechia

$121,116 Vol.

3%

Bulgaria

$33,391 Vol.

2%

Malta

$92,423 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$28,107 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$4,292 Vol.

1%

Israel

$14,516 Vol.

1%

Ukraine

$3,898 Vol.

1%

Greece

$29,668 Vol.

1%

Germany

$59,334 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$7,826 Vol.

1%

Italy

$24,330 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$19,374 Vol.

1%

Poland

$13,457 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$23,980 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$13,171 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$19,478 Vol.

1%

Austria

$44,427 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$3,912 Vol.

1%

Romania

$4,979 Vol.

1%

Albania

$4,981 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$17,648 Vol.

1%

San Marino

$3,771 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$3,576 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$3,420 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$3,597 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$3,498 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$3,539 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$3,427 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$3,914 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$3,776 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$3,584 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and France (Monroe's "Regarde!") as near-dead-even frontrunners for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, with implied probabilities hovering around 30%, reflecting their sophisticated song structures, powerhouse vocals, and alignment with juries' preference for compositional depth over televote flash. Recent national selection finales in early March—Australia's internal reveal on March 1, France's on March 6, Finland's UMK win ("Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen) on February 28, and Denmark's DMGP ("Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund) earlier—unveiled entries praised in previews for live violin flair and emotional bridges, propelling these four ahead. Key differentiators include Australia's staging potential and France's intense French chanson vibe, amid OGAE poll momentum; rehearsals starting soon could shift dynamics as juries weigh live execution.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$691,835
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and France (Monroe's "Regarde!") as near-dead-even frontrunners for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, with implied probabilities hovering around 30%, reflecting their sophisticated song structures, powerhouse vocals, and alignment with juries' preference for compositional depth over televote flash. Recent national selection finales in early March—Australia's internal reveal on March 1, France's on March 6, Finland's UMK win ("Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen) on February 28, and Denmark's DMGP ("Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund) earlier—unveiled entries praised in previews for live violin flair and emotional bridges, propelling these four ahead. Key differentiators include Australia's staging potential and France's intense French chanson vibe, amid OGAE poll momentum; rehearsals starting soon could shift dynamics as juries weigh live execution.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$691,835
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 31%, followed by "France" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $691.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.