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Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Finland 61%

Sweden 32%

Denmark 7%

Norway 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Finland 61%

Sweden 32%

Denmark 7%

Norway 2.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Finland

$5 Vol.

61%

Sweden

$5 Vol.

32%

Denmark

$35 Vol.

7%

Norway

$67 Vol.

3%

Iceland

$411 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest.

For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$523
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Finland's commanding 60.5% implied probability stems from its breakout 2024 performance with Windows95man's "No Rules!" finishing 10th—its best in years—and the proven strength of UMK national selection in producing viral, high-energy entries that resonate with televoters. Sweden trails at 32.5% on its Eurovision powerhouse legacy, including Loreen's 2023 win, though a 6th-place dip last year tempers enthusiasm amid Melodifestivalen tweaks. Denmark (7.0%), Norway (2.5%), and Iceland (1.1%) lag due to inconsistent recent placings—Norway dead last in 2024—and weaker pre-selection buzz. Recent UMK 2026 date announcements and early artist speculation have solidified Finland's trader consensus, while Nordic voting blocs amplify frontrunner leads ahead of 2025's Basel contest influencing host bids.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 61%, followed by "Sweden" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" is "Finland" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sweden" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.