With the Second Semi-Final running order revealed on April 2, trader consensus in Vienna 2026 centers on frontrunners Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), bolstered by recent pre-party performances at Eurovision in Concert and strong national selection victories. The return of professional juries to semis—first since 2022—elevates entries with broad appeal like Cyprus' Antigoni ("Jalla") and Norway's Jonas Lovv ("Ya ya ya"), alongside televote powerhouses Armenia and Romania. Recent song releases from Armenia, Switzerland, and others have fueled buzz, but staging quality will prove pivotal. First rehearsals begin May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle, potentially shifting dynamics before the May 14 show where top 10 advance amid fierce competition from 15 nations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
$245,714 Vol.
May 14, 2026
Ukraine
95%
Denmark
94%
Australia
93%
Romania
86%
Cyprus
81%
Bulgaria
78%
Malta
77%
Czechia
72%
Norway
72%
Albania
62%
Latvia
54%
Switzerland
42%
Luxembourg
39%
Armenia
35%
Azerbaijan
10%
$245,714 Vol.
Ukraine
$1,683 Vol.
95%
Denmark
$992 Vol.
94%
Australia
$11,990 Vol.
93%
Romania
$7,948 Vol.
86%
Cyprus
$21,322 Vol.
81%
Bulgaria
$6,147 Vol.
78%
Malta
$16,604 Vol.
77%
Czechia
$35,090 Vol.
72%
Norway
$5,288 Vol.
72%
Albania
$21,641 Vol.
62%
Latvia
$1,447 Vol.
54%
Switzerland
$74,581 Vol.
42%
Luxembourg
$22,434 Vol.
39%
Armenia
$12,571 Vol.
35%
Azerbaijan
$5,975 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the Second Semi-Final running order revealed on April 2, trader consensus in Vienna 2026 centers on frontrunners Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), bolstered by recent pre-party performances at Eurovision in Concert and strong national selection victories. The return of professional juries to semis—first since 2022—elevates entries with broad appeal like Cyprus' Antigoni ("Jalla") and Norway's Jonas Lovv ("Ya ya ya"), alongside televote powerhouses Armenia and Romania. Recent song releases from Armenia, Switzerland, and others have fueled buzz, but staging quality will prove pivotal. First rehearsals begin May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle, potentially shifting dynamics before the May 14 show where top 10 advance amid fierce competition from 15 nations.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$245,714End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the Second Semi-Final running order revealed on April 2, trader consensus in Vienna 2026 centers on frontrunners Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), bolstered by recent pre-party performances at Eurovision in Concert and strong national selection victories. The return of professional juries to semis—first since 2022—elevates entries with broad appeal like Cyprus' Antigoni ("Jalla") and Norway's Jonas Lovv ("Ya ya ya"), alongside televote powerhouses Armenia and Romania. Recent song releases from Armenia, Switzerland, and others have fueled buzz, but staging quality will prove pivotal. First rehearsals begin May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle, potentially shifting dynamics before the May 14 show where top 10 advance amid fierce competition from 15 nations.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$245,714End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With the Second Semi-Final running order revealed on April 2, trader consensus in Vienna 2026 centers on frontrunners Ukraine's Leléka ("Ridnym"), Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse"), and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem"), bolstered by recent pre-party performances at Eurovision in Concert and strong national selection victories. The return of professional juries to semis—first since 2022—elevates entries with broad appeal like Cyprus' Antigoni ("Jalla") and Norway's Jonas Lovv ("Ya ya ya"), alongside televote powerhouses Armenia and Romania. Recent song releases from Armenia, Switzerland, and others have fueled buzz, but staging quality will prove pivotal. First rehearsals begin May 1 at Wiener Stadthalle, potentially shifting dynamics before the May 14 show where top 10 advance amid fierce competition from 15 nations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions