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Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

$23,701 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$23,701 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finland

$5,110 Vol.

68%

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Greece

$190 Vol.

47%

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France

$476 Vol.

42%

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Denmark

$330 Vol.

36%

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Sweden

$388 Vol.

29%

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Israel

$1,146 Vol.

28%

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Australia

$0 Vol.

25%

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Ukraine

$0 Vol.

17%

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Malta

$0 Vol.

16%

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Italy

$533 Vol.

18%

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United Kingdom

$0 Vol.

13%

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Czechia

$0 Vol.

12%

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Moldova

$0 Vol.

12%

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Bulgaria

$0 Vol.

11%

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Germany

$0 Vol.

9%

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Austria

$0 Vol.

8%

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Lithuania

$0 Vol.

7%

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Cyprus

$0 Vol.

7%

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Belgium

$0 Vol.

7%

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Montenegro

$166 Vol.

7%

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Latvia

$0 Vol.

7%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

6%

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Romania

$0 Vol.

6%

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Poland

$168 Vol.

6%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

6%

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Croatia

$63 Vol.

6%

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Azerbaijan

$0 Vol.

6%

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Switzerland

$0 Vol.

6%

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Norway

$287 Vol.

5%

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Serbia

$24 Vol.

10%

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Georgia

$14,820 Vol.

5%

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Armenia

$0 Vol.

4%

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San Marino

$0 Vol.

4%

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Luxembourg

$0 Vol.

3%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As national selections wrap up across Europe—with standout entries like Sweden's "My System," Finland's violin-driven powerhouse, and Greece's viral hit fueling early buzz—trader sentiment clusters around perennial contenders for Vienna's top 3 podium at the Wiener Stadthalle semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16. Forecasts from outlets like The Model position Sweden as the jury-televote frontrunner, bolstered by broad appeal and staging hype, while Denmark and Israel vie amid televote volatility from geopolitical currents. Austria's post-2025 win hosting adds home-crowd energy, but rehearsals starting late April will sharpen qualifiers and expose production weaknesses, with new 70th-edition rules potentially tweaking voting dynamics. The EBU's fresh Asia spin-off announcement in Bangkok adds global luster without shifting core odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$23,701
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As national selections wrap up across Europe—with standout entries like Sweden's "My System," Finland's violin-driven powerhouse, and Greece's viral hit fueling early buzz—trader sentiment clusters around perennial contenders for Vienna's top 3 podium at the Wiener Stadthalle semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16. Forecasts from outlets like The Model position Sweden as the jury-televote frontrunner, bolstered by broad appeal and staging hype, while Denmark and Israel vie amid televote volatility from geopolitical currents. Austria's post-2025 win hosting adds home-crowd energy, but rehearsals starting late April will sharpen qualifiers and expose production weaknesses, with new 70th-edition rules potentially tweaking voting dynamics. The EBU's fresh Asia spin-off announcement in Bangkok adds global luster without shifting core odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$23,701
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

22%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%
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Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

82%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 68%, followed by "Greece" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" has generated $23.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 3," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" is "Finland" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 3" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.