Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of defending champion Ousmane Dembélé at 21.1%, with Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Kylian Mbappé clustered between 9.5% and 10.0%. Kane’s position reflects his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted elite goal tallies while securing domestic honors and the European Golden Shoe. Dembélé’s strong PSG form and recent individual awards keep him close, while Yamal’s Barcelona output and Rice’s Arsenal midfield dominance sustain their shares. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from the season’s conclusion and the pending 2026 World Cup, which will shape final voter decisions ahead of the October ceremony.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Người chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 24.6%
Ousmane Dembélé 21.2%
Lamine Yamal 10%
Declan Rice 9.7%
$3,627,168 KL.
$3,627,168 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
25%
Ousmane Dembélé
21%
Lamine Yamal
10%
Declan Rice
10%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Vitinha
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
6%
Michael Olise
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Pedri
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Raphinha
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 24.6%
Ousmane Dembélé 21.2%
Lamine Yamal 10%
Declan Rice 9.7%
$3,627,168 KL.
$3,627,168 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$721,451 KL.
25%
Ousmane Dembélé
$415,097 KL.
21%
Lamine Yamal
$85,704 KL.
10%
Declan Rice
$58,247 KL.
10%
Kylian Mbappé
$139,449 KL.
10%
Vitinha
$55,968 KL.
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$65,629 KL.
6%
Michael Olise
$92,570 KL.
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$60,445 KL.
2%
Bruno Fernandes
$39,784 KL.
1%
Lautaro Martinez
$44,527 KL.
1%
Vinícius Júnior
$472,228 KL.
1%
Pedri
$283,791 KL.
1%
Erling Haaland
$266,610 KL.
1%
Julian Alvarez
$31,477 KL.
1%
Luis Diaz
$42,929 KL.
1%
Raphinha
$36,620 KL.
<1%
Desire Doue
$29,923 KL.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$28,378 KL.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$227,703 KL.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$38,651 KL.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$253,845 KL.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$68,878 KL.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$67,546 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of defending champion Ousmane Dembélé at 21.1%, with Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Kylian Mbappé clustered between 9.5% and 10.0%. Kane’s position reflects his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted elite goal tallies while securing domestic honors and the European Golden Shoe. Dembélé’s strong PSG form and recent individual awards keep him close, while Yamal’s Barcelona output and Rice’s Arsenal midfield dominance sustain their shares. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from the season’s conclusion and the pending 2026 World Cup, which will shape final voter decisions ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,627,168Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of defending champion Ousmane Dembélé at 21.1%, with Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Kylian Mbappé clustered between 9.5% and 10.0%. Kane’s position reflects his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted elite goal tallies while securing domestic honors and the European Golden Shoe. Dembélé’s strong PSG form and recent individual awards keep him close, while Yamal’s Barcelona output and Rice’s Arsenal midfield dominance sustain their shares. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from the season’s conclusion and the pending 2026 World Cup, which will shape final voter decisions ahead of the October ceremony.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Khối lượng
$3,627,168Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of defending champion Ousmane Dembélé at 21.1%, with Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Kylian Mbappé clustered between 9.5% and 10.0%. Kane’s position reflects his standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted elite goal tallies while securing domestic honors and the European Golden Shoe. Dembélé’s strong PSG form and recent individual awards keep him close, while Yamal’s Barcelona output and Rice’s Arsenal midfield dominance sustain their shares. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from the season’s conclusion and the pending 2026 World Cup, which will shape final voter decisions ahead of the October ceremony.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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