The Weeknd's commanding 95.5% implied probability as Spotify's #2 global artist for March stems from his sustained streaming dominance, trailing only Taylor Swift amid her Eras Tour-fueled chart reign, per Spotify's latest daily and weekly charts showing him consistently second with billions in monthly plays from hits like "Blinding Lights" and "Die For You." Trader consensus reflects verified mid-March data where no rival has closed the gap, bolstered by algorithmic playlist boosts and no major competing releases. An upset would require a late-month viral surge from Bad Bunny (2.3%) via a surprise drop or Bruno Mars (1.4%) reigniting TikTok trends, though historical precedents favor The Weeknd's momentum through month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated#2 Spotify artist in March?
#2 Spotify artist in March?
The Weeknd 96%
Bad Bunny 2.3%
Bruno Mars 1.4%
Kanye West <1%
$92,460 Vol.
$92,460 Vol.
The Weeknd
96%
Bad Bunny
2%
Bruno Mars
1%
Kanye West
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Rihanna
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
The Weeknd 96%
Bad Bunny 2.3%
Bruno Mars 1.4%
Kanye West <1%
$92,460 Vol.
$92,460 Vol.
The Weeknd
96%
Bad Bunny
2%
Bruno Mars
1%
Kanye West
<1%
Ed Sheeran
<1%
Noah Kahan
<1%
Taylor Swift
<1%
Billie Eilish
<1%
Kendrick Lamar
<1%
Drake
<1%
Lady Gaga
<1%
Rihanna
<1%
Coldplay
<1%
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Weeknd's commanding 95.5% implied probability as Spotify's #2 global artist for March stems from his sustained streaming dominance, trailing only Taylor Swift amid her Eras Tour-fueled chart reign, per Spotify's latest daily and weekly charts showing him consistently second with billions in monthly plays from hits like "Blinding Lights" and "Die For You." Trader consensus reflects verified mid-March data where no rival has closed the gap, bolstered by algorithmic playlist boosts and no major competing releases. An upset would require a late-month viral surge from Bad Bunny (2.3%) via a surprise drop or Bruno Mars (1.4%) reigniting TikTok trends, though historical precedents favor The Weeknd's momentum through month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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