Trader consensus on Polymarket gives The Weeknd a 100% implied probability as the #2 Spotify artist for March, locked in by end-of-month streaming metrics showing him at 115 million monthly listeners, trailing only Bruno Mars's dominant 135 million. This positioning stems from The Weeknd's catalog endurance—hits like "Blinding Lights" and "Starboy" fueling over 3 billion streams year-to-date—while Mars's viral collabs with ROSÉ ("APT.") and Lady Gaga ("Die With A Smile") secured #1. No recent challengers like Bad Bunny (108 million) closed the 7-million-listener gap in final daily updates from kworb.net. An upset would require an unprecedented data revision or anomalous final-day surge, highly improbable with March concluded.