Trader consensus on Polymarket gives The Weeknd a 100% implied probability as the #2 Spotify artist for March, locked in by end-of-month streaming metrics showing him at 115 million monthly listeners, trailing only Bruno Mars's dominant 135 million. This positioning stems from The Weeknd's catalog endurance—hits like "Blinding Lights" and "Starboy" fueling over 3 billion streams year-to-date—while Mars's viral collabs with ROSÉ ("APT.") and Lady Gaga ("Die With A Smile") secured #1. No recent challengers like Bad Bunny (108 million) closed the 7-million-listener gap in final daily updates from kworb.net. An upset would require an unprecedented data revision or anomalous final-day surge, highly improbable with March concluded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated#2 Spotify artist in March?
#2 Spotify artist in March?
The Weeknd 100.0%
Noah Kahan <1%
Taylor Swift <1%
Billie Eilish <1%
$179,440 Vol.
$179,440 Vol.
Noah Kahan
No
The Weeknd
Yes
Taylor Swift
No
Billie Eilish
No
Kanye West
No
Ed Sheeran
No
Bruno Mars
No
Bad Bunny
No
Kendrick Lamar
No
Drake
No
Lady Gaga
No
Rihanna
No
Coldplay
No
The Weeknd 100.0%
Noah Kahan <1%
Taylor Swift <1%
Billie Eilish <1%
$179,440 Vol.
$179,440 Vol.
Noah Kahan
No
The Weeknd
Yes
Taylor Swift
No
Billie Eilish
No
Kanye West
No
Ed Sheeran
No
Bruno Mars
No
Bad Bunny
No
Kendrick Lamar
No
Drake
No
Lady Gaga
No
Rihanna
No
Coldplay
No
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.
The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket gives The Weeknd a 100% implied probability as the #2 Spotify artist for March, locked in by end-of-month streaming metrics showing him at 115 million monthly listeners, trailing only Bruno Mars's dominant 135 million. This positioning stems from The Weeknd's catalog endurance—hits like "Blinding Lights" and "Starboy" fueling over 3 billion streams year-to-date—while Mars's viral collabs with ROSÉ ("APT.") and Lady Gaga ("Die With A Smile") secured #1. No recent challengers like Bad Bunny (108 million) closed the 7-million-listener gap in final daily updates from kworb.net. An upset would require an unprecedented data revision or anomalous final-day surge, highly improbable with March concluded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions