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Eurovision Winner 2026

icon for Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 42.3%

Denmark 14.1%

Greece 12.3%

France 7.1%

Polymarket

$134,211,948 Vol.

Finland 42.3%

Denmark 14.1%

Greece 12.3%

France 7.1%

Polymarket

$134,211,948 Vol.

icon for Finland

Finland

$4,185,205 Vol.

42%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$2,043,467 Vol.

14%

icon for Greece

Greece

$2,702,474 Vol.

12%

icon for France

France

$2,679,292 Vol.

7%

icon for Australia

Australia

$2,155,588 Vol.

5%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2,384,653 Vol.

4%

icon for Italy

Italy

$3,144,251 Vol.

3%

icon for Romania

Romania

$2,241,274 Vol.

3%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$1,820,199 Vol.

3%

icon for Malta

Malta

$2,569,512 Vol.

2%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$2,157,484 Vol.

1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$1,637,214 Vol.

1%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$2,226,782 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$3,516,011 Vol.

1%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$2,408,136 Vol.

1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$2,898,467 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$3,201,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$3,147,004 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norway

Norway

$3,958,949 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$3,639,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$4,397,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$5,210,061 Vol.

<1%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$4,532,897 Vol.

<1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$5,053,472 Vol.

<1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$2,956,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Albania

Albania

$5,820,971 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$6,882,337 Vol.

<1%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$5,865,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$4,886,917 Vol.

<1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$4,969,400 Vol.

<1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$5,618,027 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$5,758,619 Vol.

<1%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$5,955,461 Vol.

<1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$5,878,563 Vol.

<1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$5,709,648 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has solidified its frontrunner status at 42% implied probability following standout first rehearsals in Vienna this week, where fiery staging and high streaming buzz—over 3.7 million views—propelled trader consensus amid strong UMK national selection momentum since late February. Denmark's haunting entry by Søren Torpegaard Lund climbs to 14% on rising pre-party televote signals and melodic appeal echoing recent Nordic successes, while Greece's upbeat "Ferto" by Akylas holds 12% buoyed by OGAE fan votes like Romania's 12 points. With all 35 entries revealed and semifinal running orders set, ongoing rehearsals through May 11 could shift dynamics ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 shows, where jury and public splits often decide close races.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$134,211,948
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has solidified its frontrunner status at 42% implied probability following standout first rehearsals in Vienna this week, where fiery staging and high streaming buzz—over 3.7 million views—propelled trader consensus amid strong UMK national selection momentum since late February. Denmark's haunting entry by Søren Torpegaard Lund climbs to 14% on rising pre-party televote signals and melodic appeal echoing recent Nordic successes, while Greece's upbeat "Ferto" by Akylas holds 12% buoyed by OGAE fan votes like Romania's 12 points. With all 35 entries revealed and semifinal running orders set, ongoing rehearsals through May 11 could shift dynamics ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 shows, where jury and public splits often decide close races.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$134,211,948
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 42%, followed by "Denmark" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $134.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.