Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” leads trader sentiment at 64.5% implied probability for the #2 US Spotify song of 2026 due to its massive mid-year resurgence. A TikTok-driven viral spike and April 2026 US pop radio push propelled the 2024 track to its first #1 on daily US and global Spotify charts in late June, delivering a substantial stream surge that still anchors year-to-date totals despite Spotify’s later removal of roughly 500,000 suspected fraudulent streams tied to Kalshi betting activity. Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” sits at 31.5% on steady but lower-peak US performance, while catalog and newer releases from artists like Lady Gaga, Bruno Mars, and others lack comparable cumulative momentum. Spotify’s year-end Wrapped report in December will finalize the ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd 44%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean 38%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars <1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson <1%
$39,076 Vol.
$39,076 Vol.
Earrings – Malcom Todd
60%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean
38%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
<1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson
<1%
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley
<1%
Risk It All – Bruno Mars
<1%
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
<1%
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson
<1%
Swim – BTS
<1%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
<1%
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande
<1%
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy
<1%
Earrings – Malcom Todd 44%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean 38%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars <1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson <1%
$39,076 Vol.
$39,076 Vol.
Earrings – Malcom Todd
60%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean
38%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
<1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson
<1%
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley
<1%
Risk It All – Bruno Mars
<1%
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
<1%
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson
<1%
Swim – BTS
<1%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
<1%
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande
<1%
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy
<1%
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” leads trader sentiment at 64.5% implied probability for the #2 US Spotify song of 2026 due to its massive mid-year resurgence. A TikTok-driven viral spike and April 2026 US pop radio push propelled the 2024 track to its first #1 on daily US and global Spotify charts in late June, delivering a substantial stream surge that still anchors year-to-date totals despite Spotify’s later removal of roughly 500,000 suspected fraudulent streams tied to Kalshi betting activity. Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need” sits at 31.5% on steady but lower-peak US performance, while catalog and newer releases from artists like Lady Gaga, Bruno Mars, and others lack comparable cumulative momentum. Spotify’s year-end Wrapped report in December will finalize the ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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