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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$712,377 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$712,377 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$71,841 Vol.

95%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$48,097 Vol.

81%

icon for Israel

Israel

$26,569 Vol.

79%

icon for France

France

$29,928 Vol.

79%

icon for Greece

Greece

$39,940 Vol.

79%

icon for Australia

Australia

$20,181 Vol.

74%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$41,341 Vol.

73%

icon for Italy

Italy

$24,596 Vol.

70%

icon for Romania

Romania

$32,067 Vol.

70%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$6,320 Vol.

61%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$60,929 Vol.

38%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$42,939 Vol.

36%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$21,477 Vol.

34%

icon for Malta

Malta

$30,780 Vol.

34%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$9,581 Vol.

32%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$21,192 Vol.

30%

icon for Albania

Albania

$2,809 Vol.

25%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$64,034 Vol.

20%

icon for Norway

Norway

$11,413 Vol.

17%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$19,018 Vol.

15%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$2,281 Vol.

11%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$2,091 Vol.

8%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$10,551 Vol.

8%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$4,723 Vol.

7%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$2,768 Vol.

7%

icon for Germany

Germany

$18,168 Vol.

7%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$2,097 Vol.

6%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$1,609 Vol.

5%

icon for Poland

Poland

$3,433 Vol.

4%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$10,716 Vol.

4%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$7,537 Vol.

3%

icon for Austria

Austria

$3,505 Vol.

3%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$11,063 Vol.

3%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$3,859 Vol.

2%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$3,454 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With rehearsals underway at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of semi-finals on May 12 and 14, trader consensus on Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Top 10 placements hinges on strong first-run performances from frontrunners like Finland's explosive "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen—which topped the recent OGAE fan poll—and consistent buzz around Israel, Greece, and Australia. Poland and Serbia impressed in early rundowns, boosting their qualification odds, while returning acts from Bulgaria, Moldova, and Romania add competitive depth to semi-final 2. Political tensions over Israel's participation, including artist boycotts and withdrawals by Iceland, Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain, introduce jury-televote volatility, but diaspora support and staging polish favor established favorites. Final on May 16 will decide top 10 via combined votes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$712,377
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With rehearsals underway at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of semi-finals on May 12 and 14, trader consensus on Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Top 10 placements hinges on strong first-run performances from frontrunners like Finland's explosive "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen—which topped the recent OGAE fan poll—and consistent buzz around Israel, Greece, and Australia. Poland and Serbia impressed in early rundowns, boosting their qualification odds, while returning acts from Bulgaria, Moldova, and Romania add competitive depth to semi-final 2. Political tensions over Israel's participation, including artist boycotts and withdrawals by Iceland, Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain, introduce jury-televote volatility, but diaspora support and staging polish favor established favorites. Final on May 16 will decide top 10 via combined votes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$712,377
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 95%, followed by "Denmark" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $712.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.