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Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$115,737 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$115,737 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finland

$2,017 Vol.

89%

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Israel

$7,752 Vol.

85%

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Denmark

$16,640 Vol.

82%

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Greece

$3,145 Vol.

78%

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France

$10,875 Vol.

76%

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Sweden

$370 Vol.

76%

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Australia

$0 Vol.

75%

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Ukraine

$1,281 Vol.

74%

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Italy

$7,701 Vol.

71%

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Romania

$8,118 Vol.

42%

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Moldova

$3,357 Vol.

39%

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Bulgaria

$594 Vol.

38%

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Cyprus

$11,037 Vol.

36%

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Czechia

$2,768 Vol.

36%

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Latvia

$563 Vol.

30%

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Malta

$5,520 Vol.

28%

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Croatia

$4,422 Vol.

25%

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United Kingdom

$0 Vol.

18%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

17%

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Norway

$1,975 Vol.

16%

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Luxembourg

$339 Vol.

16%

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Lithuania

$10,006 Vol.

13%

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Serbia

$7,859 Vol.

13%

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Germany

$4,093 Vol.

12%

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Armenia

$0 Vol.

12%

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Georgia

$0 Vol.

11%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

10%

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Montenegro

$0 Vol.

9%

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Switzerland

$1,994 Vol.

9%

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Belgium

$758 Vol.

8%

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Azerbaijan

$46 Vol.

7%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

7%

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Poland

$1,587 Vol.

6%

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San Marino

$300 Vol.

5%

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Austria

$619 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen for a top-10 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by its UMK victory on February 28 blending violin fireworks with massive jury-televote appeal and surging Spotify streams. Israel ("Michelle"), Denmark ("Før vi går hjem"), Greece ("Ferto"), and France ("Regarde!") follow closely, buoyed by strong national final buzz, explosive daily plays—Italy's "Per sempre sì" leads charts—and France's recent live performance surge. Sweden's "My System" and Australia's Delta Goodrem entry round out the pack amid Nordic dominance. With first rehearsals looming in late April and semis on May 12/14, geopolitical boycotts targeting Israel add volatility, while jury-public splits and voting blocs could spark upsets before the May 16 final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$115,737
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen for a top-10 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by its UMK victory on February 28 blending violin fireworks with massive jury-televote appeal and surging Spotify streams. Israel ("Michelle"), Denmark ("Før vi går hjem"), Greece ("Ferto"), and France ("Regarde!") follow closely, buoyed by strong national final buzz, explosive daily plays—Italy's "Per sempre sì" leads charts—and France's recent live performance surge. Sweden's "My System" and Australia's Delta Goodrem entry round out the pack amid Nordic dominance. With first rehearsals looming in late April and semis on May 12/14, geopolitical boycotts targeting Israel add volatility, while jury-public splits and voting blocs could spark upsets before the May 16 final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$115,737
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

23%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

68%
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Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

82%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 89%, followed by "Israel" at 85%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $115.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 85%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.