Sean Combs’ 50-month federal sentence for two Mann Act convictions, handed down in October 2025 after acquittal on racketeering and sex-trafficking counts, places his projected release in early 2028 even before recent adjustments. As of October 2026, Bureau of Prisons records list a March 2, 2028 date following reports of contraband access and special treatment at FCI Fort Dix that triggered solitary confinement and lost credits. Ongoing appeals and speculation around clemency have not produced any verified timeline shifts that would allow custody to end before year-end, while the remaining sentence length and disciplinary setbacks reinforce trader consensus around the strong “No” odds. Upcoming court rulings on the appeal and any clemency developments remain the key near-term catalysts to monitor.