**Diddy's projected release remains firmly set for early 2028 under his 50-month federal sentence for two Mann Act violations, handed down in October 2025 after a July 2025 conviction on transportation-for-prostitution counts.** Bureau of Prisons records have fluctuated slightly with good-time credits and program participation but consistently point to 2028—even after the most recent adjustment to March 2, 2028, following reports of contraband access and special treatment that led to solitary confinement. The pending appeal of the underlying conviction has not produced a ruling that would accelerate release, and no other mechanism (such as compassionate release or executive action) has emerged to alter the timeline in the final months of 2026. While a swift appellate reversal or pardon could theoretically shift the outcome, the current record and institutional projections underpin the market's strong consensus against release this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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