**Diddy (Sean Combs) is serving a 50-month federal sentence at FCI Fort Dix in New Jersey following his July 2025 conviction on two Mann Act counts of transporting individuals for prostitution.** He was acquitted on the more serious racketeering conspiracy and sex trafficking charges. Sentenced in October 2025, his projected release date has fluctuated with Bureau of Prisons adjustments but currently sits at March 2, 2028—well beyond 2026—after recent setbacks tied to reports of special treatment, contraband use, and solitary confinement. Trader consensus for “No” at 89% reflects the straightforward timeline of the sentence, credit for time served, and limited impact from his pending appeal, which has not produced a reversal or resentencing that would accelerate release. Recent October 2026 developments, including a head injury incident and further date extensions amid allegations of pampered conditions, have reinforced rather than altered the outlook. No verified developments point to early release mechanisms or clemency that could realistically shift the outcome before year-end 2026.