Jack Lowden has surged to frontrunner status in the next James Bond market after his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman publicly suggested producers had already selected the actor while crossing his fingers for Lowden, amplifying earlier speculation from podcaster Richard Osman that the Scottish performer was strongly under consideration. Lowden’s established spy-thriller credentials as River Cartwright and his fit within the reported shortlist of younger British talent align with director Denis Villeneuve’s reported prototype. Trader consensus reflects the momentum behind these comments, though persistent uncertainty over an official announcement—expected by year-end under Amazon MGM—keeps the “no Bond chosen” outcome elevated. Other shortlist names like Callum Turner and Jack Barton have seen their implied probabilities cool amid the recent Lowden buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 50.8%
No Bond chosen 22.7%
Jack Barton 11.3%
Callum Turner 9.4%
$862,586 Vol.
$862,586 Vol.

Jack Lowden
51%

No Bond chosen
23%

Jack Barton
11%

Callum Turner
9%

Jack O'Connell
3%

Tom Francis
2%

Richard Madden
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Henry Cavill
1%

Jacob Elordi
<1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Tom Blyth
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Jonathan Bailey
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Timothee Chalamet
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Michael B Jordan
<1%

Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 50.8%
No Bond chosen 22.7%
Jack Barton 11.3%
Callum Turner 9.4%
$862,586 Vol.
$862,586 Vol.

Jack Lowden
51%

No Bond chosen
23%

Jack Barton
11%

Callum Turner
9%

Jack O'Connell
3%

Tom Francis
2%

Richard Madden
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Henry Cavill
1%

Jacob Elordi
<1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Tom Blyth
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Jonathan Bailey
<1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Timothee Chalamet
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Michael B Jordan
<1%

Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jack Lowden has surged to frontrunner status in the next James Bond market after his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman publicly suggested producers had already selected the actor while crossing his fingers for Lowden, amplifying earlier speculation from podcaster Richard Osman that the Scottish performer was strongly under consideration. Lowden’s established spy-thriller credentials as River Cartwright and his fit within the reported shortlist of younger British talent align with director Denis Villeneuve’s reported prototype. Trader consensus reflects the momentum behind these comments, though persistent uncertainty over an official announcement—expected by year-end under Amazon MGM—keeps the “no Bond chosen” outcome elevated. Other shortlist names like Callum Turner and Jack Barton have seen their implied probabilities cool amid the recent Lowden buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions