Trader consensus prices "No" at 60.5% implied probability for Neymar featuring in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting persistent injury woes and Brazil coach Carlo Ancelotti's conditional stance on his fitness. The 34-year-old, recovering from December 2025 knee surgery following an ACL tear and hamstring issues, was omitted from March 2026 friendlies despite playing 80 minutes for Santos recently—though observers note diminished sharpness under pressure. Ancelotti demands consistent full fitness amid a stacked Seleção with Vinícius Júnior leading attacks, while Neymar's April referee controversy further clouds squad selection prospects for the already-qualified CONMEBOL powerhouse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$317,000 Vol.
$317,000 Vol.
$317,000 Vol.
$317,000 Vol.
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 60.5% implied probability for Neymar featuring in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting persistent injury woes and Brazil coach Carlo Ancelotti's conditional stance on his fitness. The 34-year-old, recovering from December 2025 knee surgery following an ACL tear and hamstring issues, was omitted from March 2026 friendlies despite playing 80 minutes for Santos recently—though observers note diminished sharpness under pressure. Ancelotti demands consistent full fitness amid a stacked Seleção with Vinícius Júnior leading attacks, while Neymar's April referee controversy further clouds squad selection prospects for the already-qualified CONMEBOL powerhouse.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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