As national selections conclude in late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as a top 5 lock after dominating UMK with rare jury-televote alignment, signaling broad appeal for Vienna's May 12-16 contest at Wiener Stadthalle. France surged post-entry reveal, while Denmark, Sweden ("My System"), and Greece build momentum via fan polls like OGAE and preview showcases; Israel's televote strength adds volatility. Home host Austria eyes strong staging, but jury unpredictability and diaspora swings keep the field wide open ahead of semi-final draws and mid-April rehearsals, where production polish could shift frontrunner narratives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$39,178 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Finland
82%
Israel
59%
Denmark
58%
Greece
57%
France
57%
Australia
53%
Sweden
40%
Italy
35%
Romania
34%
Ukraine
34%
Malta
25%
United Kingdom
13%
Czechia
18%
Cyprus
17%
Moldova
15%
Armenia
15%
Croatia
14%
Georgia
13%
Germany
13%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
Albania
10%
Austria
10%
Latvia
10%
Luxembourg
10%
San Marino
9%
Norway
15%
Belgium
9%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
8%
Portugal
7%
Switzerland
11%
Serbia
10%
Lithuania
12%
Bulgaria
15%
$39,178 Vol.
Finland
$17,225 Vol.
82%
Israel
$6,360 Vol.
59%
Denmark
$5,742 Vol.
58%
Greece
$1,490 Vol.
57%
France
$389 Vol.
57%
Australia
$0 Vol.
53%
Sweden
$0 Vol.
40%
Italy
$2,012 Vol.
35%
Romania
$169 Vol.
34%
Ukraine
$0 Vol.
34%
Malta
$3,196 Vol.
25%
United Kingdom
$0 Vol.
13%
Czechia
$0 Vol.
18%
Cyprus
$585 Vol.
17%
Moldova
$18 Vol.
15%
Armenia
$134 Vol.
15%
Croatia
$0 Vol.
14%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
13%
Germany
$37 Vol.
13%
Montenegro
$0 Vol.
11%
Poland
$0 Vol.
11%
Albania
$0 Vol.
10%
Austria
$203 Vol.
10%
Latvia
$0 Vol.
10%
Luxembourg
$135 Vol.
10%
San Marino
$0 Vol.
9%
Norway
$481 Vol.
15%
Belgium
$356 Vol.
9%
Azerbaijan
$0 Vol.
8%
Estonia
$0 Vol.
8%
Portugal
$0 Vol.
7%
Switzerland
$0 Vol.
11%
Serbia
$180 Vol.
10%
Lithuania
$342 Vol.
12%
Bulgaria
$124 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As national selections conclude in late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as a top 5 lock after dominating UMK with rare jury-televote alignment, signaling broad appeal for Vienna's May 12-16 contest at Wiener Stadthalle. France surged post-entry reveal, while Denmark, Sweden ("My System"), and Greece build momentum via fan polls like OGAE and preview showcases; Israel's televote strength adds volatility. Home host Austria eyes strong staging, but jury unpredictability and diaspora swings keep the field wide open ahead of semi-final draws and mid-April rehearsals, where production polish could shift frontrunner narratives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$39,178End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As national selections conclude in late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as a top 5 lock after dominating UMK with rare jury-televote alignment, signaling broad appeal for Vienna's May 12-16 contest at Wiener Stadthalle. France surged post-entry reveal, while Denmark, Sweden ("My System"), and Greece build momentum via fan polls like OGAE and preview showcases; Israel's televote strength adds volatility. Home host Austria eyes strong staging, but jury unpredictability and diaspora swings keep the field wide open ahead of semi-final draws and mid-April rehearsals, where production polish could shift frontrunner narratives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$39,178End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As national selections conclude in late March 2026, trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen as a top 5 lock after dominating UMK with rare jury-televote alignment, signaling broad appeal for Vienna's May 12-16 contest at Wiener Stadthalle. France surged post-entry reveal, while Denmark, Sweden ("My System"), and Greece build momentum via fan polls like OGAE and preview showcases; Israel's televote strength adds volatility. Home host Austria eyes strong staging, but jury unpredictability and diaspora swings keep the field wide open ahead of semi-final draws and mid-April rehearsals, where production polish could shift frontrunner narratives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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