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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$322,857 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$322,857 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$60,959 Vol.

90%

icon for Greece

Greece

$21,233 Vol.

70%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$54,424 Vol.

62%

icon for France

France

$13,942 Vol.

52%

icon for Israel

Israel

$38,180 Vol.

51%

icon for Australia

Australia

$5,966 Vol.

48%

icon for Romania

Romania

$7,400 Vol.

37%

icon for Italy

Italy

$5,091 Vol.

32%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$17,364 Vol.

23%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$10,474 Vol.

22%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$3,317 Vol.

11%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$134 Vol.

10%

icon for Albania

Albania

$408 Vol.

8%

icon for Malta

Malta

$5,224 Vol.

9%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$3,096 Vol.

9%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$421 Vol.

8%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$921 Vol.

8%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$6,899 Vol.

6%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$10,354 Vol.

6%

icon for Austria

Austria

$382 Vol.

5%

icon for Norway

Norway

$2,126 Vol.

5%

icon for Germany

Germany

$16,807 Vol.

3%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$1,131 Vol.

3%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$595 Vol.

3%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$127 Vol.

2%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$1,838 Vol.

2%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$2,224 Vol.

2%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$1,053 Vol.

2%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$3,267 Vol.

1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$1,424 Vol.

1%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$20,629 Vol.

1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$2,527 Vol.

1%

icon for Poland

Poland

$2,550 Vol.

1%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$202 Vol.

1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$169 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As rehearsals kick off at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of Semi-Final 1 on May 12, trader sentiment in the Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market hinges on early staging impressions and running order reveals from two days ago, bolstering frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, who lead bookmakers and OGAE fan polls with dynamic pop-rock appeal. Strong contenders including Israel, Greece, Denmark, and France benefit from solid previews and historical televote strength, amid new EBU voting curbs announced last month to curb block voting. Political tensions linger, but focus shifts to jury shows tomorrow and the May 16 final, where last-minute performances could spark upsets in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$322,857
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.As rehearsals kick off at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle ahead of Semi-Final 1 on May 12, trader sentiment in the Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market hinges on early staging impressions and running order reveals from two days ago, bolstering frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, who lead bookmakers and OGAE fan polls with dynamic pop-rock appeal. Strong contenders including Israel, Greece, Denmark, and France benefit from solid previews and historical televote strength, amid new EBU voting curbs announced last month to curb block voting. Political tensions linger, but focus shifts to jury shows tomorrow and the May 16 final, where last-minute performances could spark upsets in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$322,857
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 90%, followed by "Greece" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $322.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.