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Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

Market icon

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

$46,774 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$46,774 Vol.

Polymarket

Kanye West

$322 Vol.

38%

Bruno Mars

$13,981 Vol.

33%

Alex Warren

$0 Vol.

29%

Bad Bunny

$29,989 Vol.

17%

Olivia Dean

$0 Vol.

14%

Taylor Swift

$2,482 Vol.

9%

Noah Kahan

$0 Vol.

8%

Don Toliver

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Beyoncé's "Texas Hold 'Em" from Cowboy Carter holds strong momentum after topping the Billboard Hot 100 for two weeks, bolstered by massive streaming gains and country radio airplay, positioning her as a frontrunner for additional April #1s amid her album's dominant sales debut. Taylor Swift's The Tortured Poets Department drops April 19, with lead single "Fortnight" featuring Post Malone poised for a blockbuster chart entry based on presale buzz and her historical streaming dominance. Kendrick Lamar's "Like That" collaboration with Future and Metro Boomin recently seized #1, fueled by the Drake diss track feud, while Drake's retaliatory "Push Ups" launches the same week as Swift's album, intensifying competition. Traders eye weekly tracking periods ending April 6, 13, 20, and 27, where sales, streams, and radio data will dictate multi-week #1 possibilities in this crowded release slate.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$46,774
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Beyoncé's "Texas Hold 'Em" from Cowboy Carter holds strong momentum after topping the Billboard Hot 100 for two weeks, bolstered by massive streaming gains and country radio airplay, positioning her as a frontrunner for additional April #1s amid her album's dominant sales debut. Taylor Swift's The Tortured Poets Department drops April 19, with lead single "Fortnight" featuring Post Malone poised for a blockbuster chart entry based on presale buzz and her historical streaming dominance. Kendrick Lamar's "Like That" collaboration with Future and Metro Boomin recently seized #1, fueled by the Drake diss track feud, while Drake's retaliatory "Push Ups" launches the same week as Swift's album, intensifying competition. Traders eye weekly tracking periods ending April 6, 13, 20, and 27, where sales, streams, and radio data will dictate multi-week #1 possibilities in this crowded release slate.

Beyoncé's "Texas Hold 'Em" from Cowboy Carter holds strong momentum after topping the Billboard Hot 100 for two weeks, bolstered by massive streaming gains and country radio airplay, positioning her as a frontrunner for additional April #1s amid her album's dominant sales debut. Taylor Swift's The Tortured Poets Department drops April 19, with lead single "Fortnight" featuring Post Malone poised for a blockbuster chart entry based on presale buzz and her historical streaming dominance. Kendrick Lamar's "Like That" collaboration with Future and Metro Boomin recently seized #1, fueled by the Drake diss track feud, while Drake's retaliatory "Push Ups" launches the same week as Swift's album, intensifying competition. Traders eye weekly tracking periods ending April 6, 13, 20, and 27, where sales, streams, and radio data will dictate multi-week #1 possibilities in this crowded release slate.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kanye West" at 38%, followed by "Bruno Mars" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" has generated $46.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" is "Kanye West" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bruno Mars" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.