Market icon

BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

Market icon

BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)

<800k 94%

1m-1.05m 2.4%

900k-950k 2.0%

1.05m-1.1m 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

<800k 94%

1m-1.05m 2.4%

900k-950k 2.0%

1.05m-1.1m 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

<800k

$1,119 Vol.

94%

800k-850k

$1,563 Vol.

1%

850k-900k

$1,574 Vol.

<1%

900k-950k

$877 Vol.

2%

950k-1m

$363 Vol.

<1%

1m-1.05m

$388 Vol.

2%

1.05m-1.1m

$427 Vol.

1%

1.1m+

$762 Vol.

<1%

BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,072
End Date
Mar 27, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Trader consensus heavily favors BTS's 'Arirang' first-week album sales falling under 800k (94% implied probability), driven by lackluster pre-order data hovering around 500k-600k units and the group's extended military hiatus curtailing full-scale promotions and fan events typical of their blockbuster releases. K-pop sales trackers like Hanteo and Circle Chart show subdued early momentum amid fierce competition from active rookies and mid-tier acts, with streaming previews generating only moderate buzz compared to BTS's past juggernauts exceeding 2 million. Cultural factors, including fan fatigue from solo projects, further dampen expectations. An upset to 1m+ would require a viral TikTok surge or surprise collaboration announcement sparking last-minute army mobilization before charts lock.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<800k" at 94%, followed by "900k-950k" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" is "<800k" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "900k-950k" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "BTS 'Arirang' First Week Album Sales? (Lower Strikes)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.