Kick's permanent ban of streamer Clavicular, announced earlier this week for repeated violations of platform gambling policies, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of a ban by June 1, 2026. The decision follows months of scrutiny over Clavicular's high-stakes CS:GO skin gambling streams, aligning with Kick's aggressive enforcement against unlicensed betting amid regulatory pressures from U.S. authorities. No appeal has been filed, and historical precedent shows Kick rarely reverses such bans on prominent creators. While an unlikely upset could stem from a successful legal challenge or platform policy reversal, traders see negligible risk given the ban's finality and the two-year resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
$128,523 Vol.
$128,523 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
$128,523 Vol.
$128,523 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular receives a Kick ban by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Kick, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kick's permanent ban of streamer Clavicular, announced earlier this week for repeated violations of platform gambling policies, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of a ban by June 1, 2026. The decision follows months of scrutiny over Clavicular's high-stakes CS:GO skin gambling streams, aligning with Kick's aggressive enforcement against unlicensed betting amid regulatory pressures from U.S. authorities. No appeal has been filed, and historical precedent shows Kick rarely reverses such bans on prominent creators. While an unlikely upset could stem from a successful legal challenge or platform policy reversal, traders see negligible risk given the ban's finality and the two-year resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular receives a Kick ban by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Kick, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Kick, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Volume
$128,523End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular receives a Kick ban by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Kick, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kick's permanent ban of streamer Clavicular, announced earlier this week for repeated violations of platform gambling policies, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of a ban by June 1, 2026. The decision follows months of scrutiny over Clavicular's high-stakes CS:GO skin gambling streams, aligning with Kick's aggressive enforcement against unlicensed betting amid regulatory pressures from U.S. authorities. No appeal has been filed, and historical precedent shows Kick rarely reverses such bans on prominent creators. While an unlikely upset could stem from a successful legal challenge or platform policy reversal, traders see negligible risk given the ban's finality and the two-year resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular receives a Kick ban by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Kick, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Kick, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$128,523End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Kick's permanent ban of streamer Clavicular, announced earlier this week for repeated violations of platform gambling policies, has driven trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability of a ban by June 1, 2026. The decision follows months of scrutiny over Clavicular's high-stakes CS:GO skin gambling streams, aligning with Kick's aggressive enforcement against unlicensed betting amid regulatory pressures from U.S. authorities. No appeal has been filed, and historical precedent shows Kick rarely reverses such bans on prominent creators. While an unlikely upset could stem from a successful legal challenge or platform policy reversal, traders see negligible risk given the ban's finality and the two-year resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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