Skip to main content
icon for Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?

40-64 100.0%

<40 <1%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

Polymarket

$2,804,033 Vol.

40-64 100.0%

<40 <1%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

Polymarket

$2,804,033 Vol.

<40

$617,513 Vol.

No

40-64

$516,889 Vol.

Yes

65-89

$640,441 Vol.

No

90-114

$480,844 Vol.

No

115-139

$235,248 Vol.

No

140-164

$133,108 Vol.

No

165-189

$37,577 Vol.

No

190-214

$78,196 Vol.

No

215-239

$29,969 Vol.

No

240+

$34,249 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 20 12:00 PM ET to April 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 20-22, 2026 (12:00 PM ET), driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com tally confirming exactly 60 qualifying posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—before the market expired. This reflects Musk's recent posting slowdown to around 20 per day, a shift from his typical 30+ viral bursts amid heightened focus on SpaceX launches and Tesla milestones over the past week, tempering political and tech commentary. With the market now in review, realistic upsets hinge on rare disputes over borderline replies, deleted posts not captured within five minutes, or tracker discrepancies against X's data, though traders see minimal risk given the locked count and high-volume scrutiny.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 20 12:00 PM ET to April 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,804,033
End Date
Apr 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 20 12:00 PM ET to April 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 20 12:00 PM ET to April 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 20-22, 2026 (12:00 PM ET), driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com tally confirming exactly 60 qualifying posts—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—before the market expired. This reflects Musk's recent posting slowdown to around 20 per day, a shift from his typical 30+ viral bursts amid heightened focus on SpaceX launches and Tesla milestones over the past week, tempering political and tech commentary. With the market now in review, realistic upsets hinge on rare disputes over borderline replies, deleted posts not captured within five minutes, or tracker discrepancies against X's data, though traders see minimal risk given the locked count and high-volume scrutiny.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 20 12:00 PM ET to April 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,804,033
End Date
Apr 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 20 12:00 PM ET to April 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40-64" at 100%, followed by "<40" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?" has generated $2.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?" is "40-64" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<40" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.