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icon for Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2

icon for Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2

Ended: Apr 27

Ended: Apr 27

Dandelion - Ella Langley 100.0%

Arirang - BTS <1%

Bully - Ye <1%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen <1%

Polymarket

$6,925 Vol.

Dandelion - Ella Langley 100.0%

Arirang - BTS <1%

Bully - Ye <1%

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen <1%

Polymarket

$6,925 Vol.

Dandelion - Ella Langley

$1,005 Vol.

Yes

Arirang - BTS

$621 Vol.

No

Bully - Ye

$1,184 Vol.

No

I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen

$608 Vol.

No

SWAG - Justin Bieber

$1,126 Vol.

No

The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean

$1,538 Vol.

No

Octane - Don Toliver

$843 Vol.

No

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's Dandelion maintains overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for Billboard 200 #1 in the week of May 2, driven by its dominant second-week hold after a blockbuster 169,000-unit debut—the largest for a female country artist in 2026. Midweek projections from Hits Daily Double confirm a comfortable lead, fueled by sustained streaming (128,000 SEA units last week), robust pure sales (39,000), and track equivalent albums, outpacing distant challengers like Morgan Wallen's I'm The Problem or resurgent titles from BTS' earlier Arirang. With the tracking week ending April 30, official chart data drops soon; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented late-week viral surge in competitor streams or sales, though historical second-week drops rarely exceed 50% for such launches.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 2, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$6,925
End Date
Apr 27, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's Dandelion maintains overwhelming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for Billboard 200 #1 in the week of May 2, driven by its dominant second-week hold after a blockbuster 169,000-unit debut—the largest for a female country artist in 2026. Midweek projections from Hits Daily Double confirm a comfortable lead, fueled by sustained streaming (128,000 SEA units last week), robust pure sales (39,000), and track equivalent albums, outpacing distant challengers like Morgan Wallen's I'm The Problem or resurgent titles from BTS' earlier Arirang. With the tracking week ending April 30, official chart data drops soon; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented late-week viral surge in competitor streams or sales, though historical second-week drops rarely exceed 50% for such launches.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 2, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$6,925
End Date
Apr 27, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dandelion - Ella Langley" at 100%, followed by "Arirang - BTS" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2" is "Dandelion - Ella Langley" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arirang - BTS" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 2" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.