Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$12,227,325 Vol.
$12,227,325 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580+
No
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$12,227,325 Vol.
$12,227,325 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
$304,767 Vol.
No
20-39
$60,420 Vol.
No
40-59
$70,450 Vol.
No
60-79
$150,173 Vol.
No
80-99
$215,220 Vol.
No
100-119
$210,972 Vol.
No
120-139
$238,850 Vol.
No
140-159
$351,286 Vol.
No
160-179
$511,939 Vol.
No
180-199
$878,289 Vol.
No
200-219
$1,334,593 Vol.
No
220-239
$892,737 Vol.
Yes
240-259
$1,028,751 Vol.
No
260-279
$692,828 Vol.
No
280-299
$554,573 Vol.
No
300-319
$664,404 Vol.
No
320-339
$532,991 Vol.
No
340-359
$478,464 Vol.
No
360-379
$349,885 Vol.
No
380-399
$282,659 Vol.
No
400-419
$298,309 Vol.
No
420-439
$245,327 Vol.
No
440-459
$225,085 Vol.
No
460-479
$242,454 Vol.
No
480-499
$184,731 Vol.
No
500-519
$193,816 Vol.
No
520-539
$186,997 Vol.
No
540-559
$253,855 Vol.
No
560-579
$203,882 Vol.
No
580+
$388,618 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$12,227,325End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$12,227,325End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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