Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Clayton Johnson at 28.4% implied probability over Aaron Kahng's 24.4%, driven by Clayton's standout emotional connection during recent one-on-one dates and surging Bachelor Nation social media buzz following the Week 6 rose ceremony. With frontrunners neck-and-neck, key differentiators include Clayton's wholesome family appeal ahead of Hometowns versus Aaron's charismatic travel compatibility with the bachelorette, amid fan polls favoring Clayton's relatability. Lower-tier contenders like Matt Carroll lag due to weaker chemistry reveals, but volatility looms with upcoming Fantasy Suites and potential drama dumps. Historical patterns show early leaders like these often clinch amid secret voter preferences and chart-topping Instagram engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
Clayton Johnson 28.4%
Aaron Kahng 24.4%
Doug Mason 6.3%
Rod Strozier 5.7%
$53,771 Vol.
$53,771 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
28%
Aaron Kahng
24%
Doug Mason
6%
Rod Strozier
6%
Richard Van De Water
5%
Christopher Wood
2%
Johnnie LaRossa
2%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
8%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson 28.4%
Aaron Kahng 24.4%
Doug Mason 6.3%
Rod Strozier 5.7%
$53,771 Vol.
$53,771 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
28%
Aaron Kahng
24%
Doug Mason
6%
Rod Strozier
6%
Richard Van De Water
5%
Christopher Wood
2%
Johnnie LaRossa
2%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
8%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Clayton Johnson at 28.4% implied probability over Aaron Kahng's 24.4%, driven by Clayton's standout emotional connection during recent one-on-one dates and surging Bachelor Nation social media buzz following the Week 6 rose ceremony. With frontrunners neck-and-neck, key differentiators include Clayton's wholesome family appeal ahead of Hometowns versus Aaron's charismatic travel compatibility with the bachelorette, amid fan polls favoring Clayton's relatability. Lower-tier contenders like Matt Carroll lag due to weaker chemistry reveals, but volatility looms with upcoming Fantasy Suites and potential drama dumps. Historical patterns show early leaders like these often clinch amid secret voter preferences and chart-topping Instagram engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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