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icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2

icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2

Ended: May 2

Ended: May 2

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 100.0%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%

Be Her - Ella Langley <1%

Potential - sombr <1%

Polymarket

$15,370 Vol.

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 100.0%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1%

Be Her - Ella Langley <1%

Potential - sombr <1%

Polymarket

$15,370 Vol.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$2,938 Vol.

No

Be Her - Ella Langley

$845 Vol.

No

Potential - sombr

$745 Vol.

No

Elizabeth Taylor - Taylor Swift

$1,299 Vol.

No

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

$603 Vol.

No

SWIM - BTS

$1,419 Vol.

No

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$6,297 Vol.

Yes

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

$1,223 Vol.

No

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" holds 100% trader consensus to debut at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated May 2, propelled by final projections tallying ~350 chart points from 28 million U.S. streams, 45,000 pure sales boosted by aggressive digital variants and promotional performances, and 24 million radio airplay impressions—overwhelming Ella Langley's radio-dominant "Choosin' Texas." This marks Rodrigo's fourth chart-topper and a historic first for debuting all lead singles at No. 1, cementing frontrunner status after midweek updates flipped odds decisively. With tracking data finalized, upsets hinge on rare Billboard revisions or improbable late surges from low-odds rivals like "Be Her," ahead of Tuesday's official reveal.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 2, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$15,370
End Date
May 2, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead" holds 100% trader consensus to debut at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated May 2, propelled by final projections tallying ~350 chart points from 28 million U.S. streams, 45,000 pure sales boosted by aggressive digital variants and promotional performances, and 24 million radio airplay impressions—overwhelming Ella Langley's radio-dominant "Choosin' Texas." This marks Rodrigo's fourth chart-topper and a historic first for debuting all lead singles at No. 1, cementing frontrunner status after midweek updates flipped odds decisively. With tracking data finalized, upsets hinge on rare Billboard revisions or improbable late surges from low-odds rivals like "Be Her," ahead of Tuesday's official reveal.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 2, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$15,370
End Date
May 2, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 2, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%, followed by "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2" has generated $15.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2" is "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 2" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.