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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS 58%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS 57%

MOULIN by László NEMES 56%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED) 52%

Polymarket
NEW

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS 58%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS 57%

MOULIN by László NEMES 56%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED) 52%

Polymarket
NEW

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$0 Vol.

58%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$0 Vol.

57%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$0 Vol.

56%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$0 Vol.

52%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$0 Vol.

52%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$0 Vol.

51%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$0 Vol.

50%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$21 Vol.

48%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$0 Vol.

48%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$28 Vol.

25%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$880 Vol.

22%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$21 Vol.

20%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$421 Vol.

14%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$45 Vol.

14%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$29 Vol.

8%

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$63 Vol.

13%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$508 Vol.

13%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$17 Vol.

27%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$36 Vol.

9%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$125 Vol.

14%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$642 Vol.

7%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,837
End Date
May 23, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,837
End Date
May 23, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS" at 29%, followed by "THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is "THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.