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# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

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# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

May 31

May 31

35–40M 26%

45–50M 22%

40–45M 21%

30–35M 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$26,938 Vol.

35–40M 26%

45–50M 22%

40–45M 21%

30–35M 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$26,938 Vol.

<25M

$5,095 Vol.

2%

25–30M

$2,297 Vol.

4%

30–35M

$4,810 Vol.

14%

35–40M

$2,862 Vol.

26%

40–45M

$2,339 Vol.

21%

45–50M

$1,894 Vol.

22%

50–55M

$2,232 Vol.

8%

55M+

$5,509 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 35–50 million day-1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video, reflecting recent underperformance offset by massive hype for the April 4th release. His mid-March uploads—"Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" at 29 million first-day views and "Trapped On An Island" at 36 million—signaled a dip from historical peaks above 70 million, amid critiques of repetitive challenge formats. However, MrBeast's March 31 announcement of 50 streamers battling in a cube for a $1 million fan giveaway, hailed by him as "the best video I’ve ever made," has sparked streamer fanbase crossover buzz. Key differentiators include collab-driven streaming shares versus algorithm fatigue; watch for premiere-day engagement spikes to tip the scales.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$26,938
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 35–50 million day-1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video, reflecting recent underperformance offset by massive hype for the April 4th release. His mid-March uploads—"Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" at 29 million first-day views and "Trapped On An Island" at 36 million—signaled a dip from historical peaks above 70 million, amid critiques of repetitive challenge formats. However, MrBeast's March 31 announcement of 50 streamers battling in a cube for a $1 million fan giveaway, hailed by him as "the best video I’ve ever made," has sparked streamer fanbase crossover buzz. Key differentiators include collab-driven streaming shares versus algorithm fatigue; watch for premiere-day engagement spikes to tip the scales.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$26,938
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Related

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50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

22%
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Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next video?

87%
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Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

78%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "35–40M" at 26%, followed by "45–50M" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" has generated $26.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is "35–40M" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45–50M" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.