Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Project Hail Mary posting under $35 million in its third domestic weekend, reflecting a projected -41% drop from the prior frame's $54 million amid intensifying competition from new releases like the record-shattering Super Mario Galaxy Movie premiere. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi epic, which soared to an $80.5 million opening before a solid -33% hold, saw theaters dip slightly to 3,907 while per-theater averages fell to $8,120, signaling waning premium format dominance and front-loaded appeal despite strong word-of-mouth and a $218 million domestic cume. An upset above $35 million would require an improbable hold bolstered by lighter rival openings or viral social momentum, though tracking and presales point firmly lower as the film prioritizes global milestones over extended U.S. legs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“Project Hail Mary”第三周末票房
“Project Hail Mary”第三周末票房
低于3500万 100.0%
3500万-3800万 <1%
3800万-4100万 <1%
>4100万 <1%
$88,029 交易量
$88,029 交易量
2026-04-06
低于3500万
是
3500万-3800万
否
3800万-4100万
否
>4100万
否
低于3500万 100.0%
3500万-3800万 <1%
3800万-4100万 <1%
>4100万 <1%
$88,029 交易量
$88,029 交易量
2026-04-06
低于3500万
$31,671 交易量
是
3500万-3800万
$15,379 交易量
否
3800万-4100万
$11,832 交易量
否
>4100万
$29,146 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Project Hail Mary posting under $35 million in its third domestic weekend, reflecting a projected -41% drop from the prior frame's $54 million amid intensifying competition from new releases like the record-shattering Super Mario Galaxy Movie premiere. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi epic, which soared to an $80.5 million opening before a solid -33% hold, saw theaters dip slightly to 3,907 while per-theater averages fell to $8,120, signaling waning premium format dominance and front-loaded appeal despite strong word-of-mouth and a $218 million domestic cume. An upset above $35 million would require an improbable hold bolstered by lighter rival openings or viral social momentum, though tracking and presales point firmly lower as the film prioritizes global milestones over extended U.S. legs.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$88,029结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Project Hail Mary posting under $35 million in its third domestic weekend, reflecting a projected -41% drop from the prior frame's $54 million amid intensifying competition from new releases like the record-shattering Super Mario Galaxy Movie premiere. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi epic, which soared to an $80.5 million opening before a solid -33% hold, saw theaters dip slightly to 3,907 while per-theater averages fell to $8,120, signaling waning premium format dominance and front-loaded appeal despite strong word-of-mouth and a $218 million domestic cume. An upset above $35 million would require an improbable hold bolstered by lighter rival openings or viral social momentum, though tracking and presales point firmly lower as the film prioritizes global milestones over extended U.S. legs.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$88,029结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Project Hail Mary posting under $35 million in its third domestic weekend, reflecting a projected -41% drop from the prior frame's $54 million amid intensifying competition from new releases like the record-shattering Super Mario Galaxy Movie premiere. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi epic, which soared to an $80.5 million opening before a solid -33% hold, saw theaters dip slightly to 3,907 while per-theater averages fell to $8,120, signaling waning premium format dominance and front-loaded appeal despite strong word-of-mouth and a $218 million domestic cume. An upset above $35 million would require an improbable hold bolstered by lighter rival openings or viral social momentum, though tracking and presales point firmly lower as the film prioritizes global milestones over extended U.S. legs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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