Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

$55,997 Vol.

Avengers: Doomsday 66%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%

Toy Story 5 7%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 5.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$55,997
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 10:18 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$55,997 Vol.

Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 66%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%

Toy Story 5 7%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 5.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Avengers: Doomsday

$2,908 Vol.

66%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$3,246 Vol.

16%

Toy Story 5

$2,047 Vol.

7%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$2,234 Vol.

6%

The Odyssey

$5,479 Vol.

4%

Michael

$7,964 Vol.

4%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

$4,405 Vol.

4%

Project Hail Mary

$10,655 Vol.

2%

Dune: Messiah

$9,469 Vol.

2%

Scream 7

$4,797 Vol.

1%

Wuthering Heights

$2,793 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$55,997
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 10:18 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.