Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

$86,509 Vol.

Dec 31

Avengers: Doomsday 71%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 15%

Toy Story 5 8%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 4.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$86,509
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 10:18 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$86,509 Vol.

Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Dec 31

Avengers: Doomsday 71%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 15%

Toy Story 5 8%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 4.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Avengers: Doomsday

$14,800 Vol.

71%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$5,593 Vol.

15%

Toy Story 5

$3,663 Vol.

8%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$4,879 Vol.

4%

Dune: Messiah

$12,833 Vol.

4%

The Odyssey

$6,849 Vol.

3%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

$6,223 Vol.

2%

Scream 7

$6,613 Vol.

1%

Michael

$9,248 Vol.

1%

Project Hail Mary

$11,867 Vol.

1%

Wuthering Heights

$3,940 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$86,509
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 10:18 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.