Trader consensus on Polymarket positions War Machine as the frontrunner for #2 on Netflix's global movies Top 10 this week, with a 32% implied probability reflecting its surge to second place in midweek streaming metrics, trailing only the dominant Our Little Secret. Brad Pitt's action satire has benefited from algorithmic promotion and renewed viewer interest in its sharp political satire amid holiday binge-watching. Close challengers Nuremberg and The Captive, both at 9.9%, gain traction from documentary intrigue and tense thriller appeal, respectively, while true-crime entry Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story (8.3%) and sequel Nobody 2 (8.0%) vie with strong genre loyalty and promotional buzz. Differentiation hinges on final viewership hours, international streaming data, and late-week surges from new releases, with Netflix's weekly chart locking soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
War Machine 32%
The Captive 10.1%
Nuremberg 9.8%
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story 8.1%
$15,260 Vol.
$15,260 Vol.

War Machine
32%

The Captive
10%

Nuremberg
10%

Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
8%

Nobody 2
8%

KPop Demon Hunters
2%

Jurassic World Rebirth
2%

Jurassic World: Dominion
2%

Trap House
2%

Trolls
2%
War Machine 32%
The Captive 10.1%
Nuremberg 9.8%
Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story 8.1%
$15,260 Vol.
$15,260 Vol.

War Machine
32%

The Captive
10%

Nuremberg
10%

Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story
8%

Nobody 2
8%

KPop Demon Hunters
2%

Jurassic World Rebirth
2%

Jurassic World: Dominion
2%

Trap House
2%

Trolls
2%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions War Machine as the frontrunner for #2 on Netflix's global movies Top 10 this week, with a 32% implied probability reflecting its surge to second place in midweek streaming metrics, trailing only the dominant Our Little Secret. Brad Pitt's action satire has benefited from algorithmic promotion and renewed viewer interest in its sharp political satire amid holiday binge-watching. Close challengers Nuremberg and The Captive, both at 9.9%, gain traction from documentary intrigue and tense thriller appeal, respectively, while true-crime entry Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story (8.3%) and sequel Nobody 2 (8.0%) vie with strong genre loyalty and promotional buzz. Differentiation hinges on final viewership hours, international streaming data, and late-week surges from new releases, with Netflix's weekly chart locking soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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