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Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Market icon

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Mayweather

66% chance
Polymarket

$56,195 Vol.

Mayweather

66% chance
Polymarket

$56,195 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus favors Floyd Mayweather at 65.5% implied probability in the anticipated rematch with Manny Pacquiao on September 19 at the Las Vegas Sphere, reflecting his unanimous decision victory in their 2015 Fight of the Century and unblemished 50-0 professional record. Recent developments, including the February announcement of a professional bout streaming on Netflix and Pacquiao's April insistence that it's a "real fight" despite Mayweather's pushback on terms and a looming contract breach deadline, have kept the matchup alive amid negotiation tensions. Mayweather's defensive mastery, counterpunching precision, and recent exhibition activity edge out Pacquiao's southpaw speed and power, diminished by ring rust since his 2021 pro loss to Yordenis Ugás, with both fighters in their late 40s presenting upset potential through stylistic clash dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada.

It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,195
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus favors Floyd Mayweather at 65.5% implied probability in the anticipated rematch with Manny Pacquiao on September 19 at the Las Vegas Sphere, reflecting his unanimous decision victory in their 2015 Fight of the Century and unblemished 50-0 professional record. Recent developments, including the February announcement of a professional bout streaming on Netflix and Pacquiao's April insistence that it's a "real fight" despite Mayweather's pushback on terms and a looming contract breach deadline, have kept the matchup alive amid negotiation tensions. Mayweather's defensive mastery, counterpunching precision, and recent exhibition activity edge out Pacquiao's southpaw speed and power, diminished by ring rust since his 2021 pro loss to Yordenis Ugás, with both fighters in their late 40s presenting upset potential through stylistic clash dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada.

It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,195
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" at 66%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" has generated $56.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" is "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.