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Oil predictions & odds

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

100%

↓ $90

$9M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

14%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$154K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

2%

40+

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$156K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

39%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$261K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

62%

$3M Vol.

$640K today

$211K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

97%

25-49

$674K Vol.

$525K today

$55.3K Liq.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

69%

↓ $80

$14M Vol.

$427K today

$985K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

97%

0-10

$601K Vol.

$375K today

$101K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$184K today

$222K Liq.

3

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

87%

20+

$233K Vol.

$108K today

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?

1%

Up

$86.4K Vol.

$86.4K today

$58.8K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 4 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 4 2026?

100%

↓ $95

$113K Vol.

$61.0K today

$126K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

20%

September 30

$3M Vol.

$55.6K today

$63.1K Liq.

92

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Crude Oil all time high by...?

36%

December 31

$126K Vol.

$56.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

69%

↑ $4.60

$119K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

30%

United States

$15.0K Vol.

$300K Liq.

2

Ends in 25 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

55%

25-49

$41.4K Vol.

$79.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 6?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 6?

3%

$102

$13.9K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

41%

0-10

$13.5K Vol.

$77.9K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?

What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?

63%

>$84

$155K Vol.

$25.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Oil that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $86.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Oil predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.