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Oil predictions & odds

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

66%

↓ $85

$10M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

5%

$9M Vol.

$2M today

$185K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

27%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$221K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$164K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

49%

$3M Vol.

$737K today

$223K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

93%

25-49

$693K Vol.

$398K today

$63.3K Liq.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

62%

↓ $80

$15M Vol.

$367K today

$988K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

97%

0-10

$608K Vol.

$334K today

$89.7K Liq.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$206K today

$231K Liq.

3

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 4 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 4 2026?

15%

↓ $85

$234K Vol.

$175K today

$87.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?

1%

Up

$112K Vol.

$112K today

$25.1K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

74%

20+

$249K Vol.

$90.4K today

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

19%

September 30

$3M Vol.

$64.3K today

$77.2K Liq.

92

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Crude Oil all time high by...?

23%

September 30

$133K Vol.

$75.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 6?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 6?

6%

$99

$29.8K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

30%

United States

$28.4K Vol.

$380K Liq.

2

Ends in 24 days

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

68%

↑ $4.60

$120K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

50%

25-49

$45.7K Vol.

$88.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

15%

JetBlue

$5.2K Vol.

$60.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

41%

0-10

$14.3K Vol.

$99.3K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Oil.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Oil that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $88.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Oil predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.