Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$54M Vol.

$4M today

$3M Liq.

4

Ends in 23 days

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$6M Vol.

$228K today

$835K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

81%

No change

$3M Vol.

$300K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

98%

Good Afternoon

$2.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

61%

1

$12.8K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$423K Vol.

$99.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

28%

September Meeting

$23.0K Vol.

$135K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

85%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$721K Vol.

$91.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$4.0K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

38%

0 (0 bps)

$16M Vol.

$114K today

$1M Liq.

53

Ends in 9 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

31%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$267K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

64%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$187K Liq.

17

Ends in 2 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

67%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$150K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

75%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

19%

$78.3K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

63%

December 31

$119K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

96%

Kevin Warsh

$21M Vol.

$628K today

$2M Liq.

75

Ends in 7 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

2%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

36

Ends in about 1 month

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

11%

60+

$62.7K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

26%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$126K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like FOMC.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for FOMC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $112.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on FOMC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.