The Fed's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, amid solid GDP growth near 2.3%, stable unemployment around 4.1%, and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.4%, underscores the absence of crisis conditions that would prompt an unscheduled intermeeting cut. Strong productivity, resilient domestic spending, and policymakers' dot-plot projections for rates at or above 4% through 2027 reinforce trader consensus against emergency easing before 2027. While geopolitical shocks or an abrupt labor-market deterioration could introduce tail risks, current data and FOMC communications indicate no such pressures on the horizon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$237,633 Vol.
$237,633 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
2% chance
$237,633 Vol.
$237,633 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, amid solid GDP growth near 2.3%, stable unemployment around 4.1%, and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.4%, underscores the absence of crisis conditions that would prompt an unscheduled intermeeting cut. Strong productivity, resilient domestic spending, and policymakers' dot-plot projections for rates at or above 4% through 2027 reinforce trader consensus against emergency easing before 2027. While geopolitical shocks or an abrupt labor-market deterioration could introduce tail risks, current data and FOMC communications indicate no such pressures on the horizon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$237,633End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, amid solid GDP growth near 2.3%, stable unemployment around 4.1%, and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.4%, underscores the absence of crisis conditions that would prompt an unscheduled intermeeting cut. Strong productivity, resilient domestic spending, and policymakers' dot-plot projections for rates at or above 4% through 2027 reinforce trader consensus against emergency easing before 2027. While geopolitical shocks or an abrupt labor-market deterioration could introduce tail risks, current data and FOMC communications indicate no such pressures on the horizon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$237,633End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fed's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate to the 3.75-4% range, amid solid GDP growth near 2.3%, stable unemployment around 4.1%, and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.4%, underscores the absence of crisis conditions that would prompt an unscheduled intermeeting cut. Strong productivity, resilient domestic spending, and policymakers' dot-plot projections for rates at or above 4% through 2027 reinforce trader consensus against emergency easing before 2027. While geopolitical shocks or an abrupt labor-market deterioration could introduce tail risks, current data and FOMC communications indicate no such pressures on the horizon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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