The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, with the next decision scheduled for June 16–17 alongside updated economic projections. Elevated April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a sharp surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3%, has shifted trader focus toward the risk of a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 rather than further easing. Minutes from the April meeting highlighted that a majority of officials viewed rate increases as necessary if inflation remains above target, while market-implied measures assign rising odds to a hike by year-end or early 2027. Key upcoming releases including the May CPI on June 10 and employment data will shape near-term expectations ahead of the June dot plot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$153,596 交易量

六月会议
1%

7月会议
6%

9月会议
27%

十月会议
23%
$153,596 交易量

六月会议
1%

7月会议
6%

9月会议
27%

十月会议
23%
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, with the next decision scheduled for June 16–17 alongside updated economic projections. Elevated April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a sharp surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3%, has shifted trader focus toward the risk of a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 rather than further easing. Minutes from the April meeting highlighted that a majority of officials viewed rate increases as necessary if inflation remains above target, while market-implied measures assign rising odds to a hike by year-end or early 2027. Key upcoming releases including the May CPI on June 10 and employment data will shape near-term expectations ahead of the June dot plot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题