Following the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting, where policymakers left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the updated dot plot raised the median end-2026 projection to 3.8%, signaling at least one 25-basis-point hike is now in view for some participants. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—driven by Mideast-related energy price pressures and resilient services costs—combined with robust May jobs data and a low unemployment rate, has shifted trader-implied odds toward tighter policy. CME FedWatch tool pricing now reflects roughly a two-thirds probability of at least one hike by year-end, contrasting earlier cut expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include July and September FOMC meetings alongside fresh CPI and employment releases that could alter the market-implied rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$197,365 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
July Meeting
38%
September Meeting
32%
October Meeting
38%
$197,365 ปริมาณ
July Meeting
$2,703 ปริมาณ
38%
September Meeting
$10,536 ปริมาณ
32%
October Meeting
$7,032 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting, where policymakers left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the updated dot plot raised the median end-2026 projection to 3.8%, signaling at least one 25-basis-point hike is now in view for some participants. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—driven by Mideast-related energy price pressures and resilient services costs—combined with robust May jobs data and a low unemployment rate, has shifted trader-implied odds toward tighter policy. CME FedWatch tool pricing now reflects roughly a two-thirds probability of at least one hike by year-end, contrasting earlier cut expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include July and September FOMC meetings alongside fresh CPI and employment releases that could alter the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$197,365วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting, where policymakers left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the updated dot plot raised the median end-2026 projection to 3.8%, signaling at least one 25-basis-point hike is now in view for some participants. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—driven by Mideast-related energy price pressures and resilient services costs—combined with robust May jobs data and a low unemployment rate, has shifted trader-implied odds toward tighter policy. CME FedWatch tool pricing now reflects roughly a two-thirds probability of at least one hike by year-end, contrasting earlier cut expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include July and September FOMC meetings alongside fresh CPI and employment releases that could alter the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$197,365วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting, where policymakers left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% under new Chair Kevin Warsh, the updated dot plot raised the median end-2026 projection to 3.8%, signaling at least one 25-basis-point hike is now in view for some participants. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—driven by Mideast-related energy price pressures and resilient services costs—combined with robust May jobs data and a low unemployment rate, has shifted trader-implied odds toward tighter policy. CME FedWatch tool pricing now reflects roughly a two-thirds probability of at least one hike by year-end, contrasting earlier cut expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include July and September FOMC meetings alongside fresh CPI and employment releases that could alter the market-implied rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย