The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, with the next decision scheduled for June 16–17 alongside updated economic projections. Elevated April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a sharp surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3%, has shifted trader focus toward the risk of a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 rather than further easing. Minutes from the April meeting highlighted that a majority of officials viewed rate increases as necessary if inflation remains above target, while market-implied measures assign rising odds to a hike by year-end or early 2027. Key upcoming releases including the May CPI on June 10 and employment data will shape near-term expectations ahead of the June dot plot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$153,596 交易量
2026-12-09
六月会议
1%
7月会议
6%
9月会议
27%
十月会议
23%
$153,596 交易量
六月会议
$15,633 交易量
1%
7月会议
$1,710 交易量
6%
9月会议
$2,400 交易量
27%
十月会议
$2,545 交易量
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, with the next decision scheduled for June 16–17 alongside updated economic projections. Elevated April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a sharp surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3%, has shifted trader focus toward the risk of a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 rather than further easing. Minutes from the April meeting highlighted that a majority of officials viewed rate increases as necessary if inflation remains above target, while market-implied measures assign rising odds to a hike by year-end or early 2027. Key upcoming releases including the May CPI on June 10 and employment data will shape near-term expectations ahead of the June dot plot.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$153,596结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, with the next decision scheduled for June 16–17 alongside updated economic projections. Elevated April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a sharp surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3%, has shifted trader focus toward the risk of a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 rather than further easing. Minutes from the April meeting highlighted that a majority of officials viewed rate increases as necessary if inflation remains above target, while market-implied measures assign rising odds to a hike by year-end or early 2027. Key upcoming releases including the May CPI on June 10 and employment data will shape near-term expectations ahead of the June dot plot.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$153,596结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, with the next decision scheduled for June 16–17 alongside updated economic projections. Elevated April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by a sharp surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3%, has shifted trader focus toward the risk of a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 rather than further easing. Minutes from the April meeting highlighted that a majority of officials viewed rate increases as necessary if inflation remains above target, while market-implied measures assign rising odds to a hike by year-end or early 2027. Key upcoming releases including the May CPI on June 10 and employment data will shape near-term expectations ahead of the June dot plot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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