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Largest Company end of May?

icon for Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

NVIDIA 97.2%

Alphabet 2.1%

Apple <1%

Amazon <1%

Polymarket

$4,387,693 Vol.

NVIDIA 97.2%

Alphabet 2.1%

Apple <1%

Amazon <1%

Polymarket

$4,387,693 Vol.

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$797,031 Vol.

97%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$447,908 Vol.

2%

icon for Apple

Apple

$491,226 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$424,554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$320,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$602,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$617,098 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$687,300 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a dominant 97.3% implied probability as the world's largest company by market cap at May's end, with its $5.7 trillion valuation dwarfing Alphabet's $4.8 trillion lead— a gap widened by recent stock surges to record highs above $227 per share, driven by accelerating artificial intelligence demand for its GPUs in training large language models and inference workloads. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects NVIDIA's unchallenged positioning in the AI hardware ecosystem amid strong sales forecasts for 2026, including Bank of America's projection of booming AI revenue. Upcoming earnings or developer conferences pose minimal threat to close the trillion-dollar divide in two weeks, though a sharp semiconductor selloff, AI regulatory intervention, or rival chip breakthroughs could theoretically challenge it.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,387,693
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a dominant 97.3% implied probability as the world's largest company by market cap at May's end, with its $5.7 trillion valuation dwarfing Alphabet's $4.8 trillion lead— a gap widened by recent stock surges to record highs above $227 per share, driven by accelerating artificial intelligence demand for its GPUs in training large language models and inference workloads. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects NVIDIA's unchallenged positioning in the AI hardware ecosystem amid strong sales forecasts for 2026, including Bank of America's projection of booming AI revenue. Upcoming earnings or developer conferences pose minimal threat to close the trillion-dollar divide in two weeks, though a sharp semiconductor selloff, AI regulatory intervention, or rival chip breakthroughs could theoretically challenge it.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,387,693
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Company end of May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 97%, followed by "Alphabet" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Company end of May?" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Company end of May?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Company end of May?" is "NVIDIA" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Company end of May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.