GameStop’s May 2026 non-binding $55.5 billion cash-and-stock proposal for eBay at $125 per share has failed to advance, leaving the implied probability of completion at just 7.5%. Primary drivers include GameStop’s roughly $8 billion market capitalization versus eBay’s $46 billion valuation, limited balance-sheet capacity despite $9.7 billion in liquidity as of Q1 2026, and the absence of any updated regulatory filings or shareholder engagement since the initial 5% stake disclosure. eBay’s strong independent performance, with 19% revenue growth and 19.8% operating margins in its latest quarter, further reduces incentives for a deal. While an unexpected financing breakthrough or board-level reversal could reopen talks, sustained inaction and the scale mismatch underpin traders’ high-conviction view that the transaction will not close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill GameStop acquire eBay?
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
8% chance
$2,825,499 Vol.
$2,825,499 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$2,825,499 Vol.
$2,825,499 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop’s May 2026 non-binding $55.5 billion cash-and-stock proposal for eBay at $125 per share has failed to advance, leaving the implied probability of completion at just 7.5%. Primary drivers include GameStop’s roughly $8 billion market capitalization versus eBay’s $46 billion valuation, limited balance-sheet capacity despite $9.7 billion in liquidity as of Q1 2026, and the absence of any updated regulatory filings or shareholder engagement since the initial 5% stake disclosure. eBay’s strong independent performance, with 19% revenue growth and 19.8% operating margins in its latest quarter, further reduces incentives for a deal. While an unexpected financing breakthrough or board-level reversal could reopen talks, sustained inaction and the scale mismatch underpin traders’ high-conviction view that the transaction will not close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
Volume
$2,825,499End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop’s May 2026 non-binding $55.5 billion cash-and-stock proposal for eBay at $125 per share has failed to advance, leaving the implied probability of completion at just 7.5%. Primary drivers include GameStop’s roughly $8 billion market capitalization versus eBay’s $46 billion valuation, limited balance-sheet capacity despite $9.7 billion in liquidity as of Q1 2026, and the absence of any updated regulatory filings or shareholder engagement since the initial 5% stake disclosure. eBay’s strong independent performance, with 19% revenue growth and 19.8% operating margins in its latest quarter, further reduces incentives for a deal. While an unexpected financing breakthrough or board-level reversal could reopen talks, sustained inaction and the scale mismatch underpin traders’ high-conviction view that the transaction will not close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,825,499End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...GameStop’s May 2026 non-binding $55.5 billion cash-and-stock proposal for eBay at $125 per share has failed to advance, leaving the implied probability of completion at just 7.5%. Primary drivers include GameStop’s roughly $8 billion market capitalization versus eBay’s $46 billion valuation, limited balance-sheet capacity despite $9.7 billion in liquidity as of Q1 2026, and the absence of any updated regulatory filings or shareholder engagement since the initial 5% stake disclosure. eBay’s strong independent performance, with 19% revenue growth and 19.8% operating margins in its latest quarter, further reduces incentives for a deal. While an unexpected financing breakthrough or board-level reversal could reopen talks, sustained inaction and the scale mismatch underpin traders’ high-conviction view that the transaction will not close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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