Tesla predictions & odds

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Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Tesla

Elon Musk

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

42%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$35.0k Liq.

367

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Tesla

Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

48%

<350k

$153k Vol.

$19.0k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

55%

$189k Vol.

$31.3k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

27%

$5.0k Vol.

$7.0k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Tesla

Tech

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

7%

$26.4k Vol.

$6.6k Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

92%

Miami

$104k Vol.

$24.3k Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

22%

7

$76.8k Vol.

$25.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

20%

$1.4k Vol.

$692 Liq.

2

Ends in 12 months