Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of February?

Tesla

Finance

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of February?

94%

$360

$60.0k Vol.

$34.0k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla

SpaceX

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

18%

$85.3k Vol.

$7.6k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

34%

$39.4k Vol.

$3.3k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

77%

$306k Vol.

$18.5k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in February 2026?

Tesla

Finance

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in February 2026?

40%

↑ $450

$59.2k Vol.

$11.2k Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

95%

Miami

$147k Vol.

$30.8k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

73%

<350k

$443k Vol.

$30.3k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla

Science

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

9%

$30.8k Vol.

$6.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Tesla

Tech

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

97%

June 30

$44.9k Vol.

$19.0k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

15%

9

$95.0k Vol.

$25.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

10%

$3.2k Vol.

$5.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

17%

$2.7k Vol.

$1.6k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tesla.

Polymarket currently hosts 12 active markets for Tesla that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of February?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to <350k. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tesla predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.